NEOH

It seems every winter when you leave town we get a decent snowfall . The thin clouds and flurries made for an awesome sunrise this morning. The next week looks quiet, and seasonable. Yeah, arctic air just doesn't produce big LES totals in this area... too bad the lake will be mostly iced by tomorrow morning.

I take it you are back at OU. Definitely our best synoptic system of the year. Snow consistency makes a big difference. Yeah, too bad the winds are turning ne'erly....otherwise it's a great set up for a Lake Huron fetch. Huron county might jackpot:) Go Bucks!

Banding has been confined to the lakeshore and over the lake this morning. Might be tough to see another inch around here. EDIT: Storm total is just under 5". I bet the lakeshore areas have exceeded that as the heaviest bands remained along and north of the coast most of the morning. Snow has moved east so that should do it... unless we see snow showers from the northerly flow.

Same here. Measured 3.7" a few minutes ago. These heavier snows always seem much more substantial, especially with the powder we've had. Hopefully we can add another inch or so today. Seems doable looking at the radar to the west.

Snowing nicely outside... Radar looks great. Temp now 30/24. Everything looks on track. Edit: down to 28/26. Wonder if the snowfall jackpot might be over Lake Erie.snowing heavily now though.

30/12 IMBY. 12z (GFS and Para) seemed to have beefed up snow amounts across N OH. Good to see. Not sure about the euro but think 2-3" may be a little low, perhaps 4".

CLE is calling for 2-3", with possible mixing around the 30 corridor. Seems like a decent forecast at this point.

Pretty good model agreement on the overrunning snows for Sunday night/Monday. With the strong hp pushing south, I wonder if we don't see a shift south. Should be good for a few inches.

I believe the winds will be turning more sw'erly overnight as the ridge builds in. Congrats on the snow today. I could see the city of Northeast getting hit but not sure about the rest of the county.

CLE extended the LES advisory until 4pm Saturday. Not sure why Geauga would be included, at least the entire county as there isn't one model that brings the snow inland. Strange. NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion -- COLDER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING WHICH WILL DESTABILIZE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE...SUPPORTING INCREASE LAKE EFFECT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDER BUT BEST CHANCES EAST OF OUR AREA. THE WSW FLOW WILL KEEP ASHTABULA AND ERIE PA COUNTIES UNDER THE BULLSEYE FOR SNOW MOST OF THE NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CAPE AROUND 06Z. COULD SEE HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 2"/HR BRIEFLY DURING THIS TIME FRAME. HAVE ADDED ASHTABULA TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LOOKING AT AN ADDITIONAL 3-6" IN THE ADVISORY AND 6-12 IN THE WARNING.

We should hit 4" easily. Dumping snow right now. Looks like the band stalled around 422, and will probably push north as winds veer WSW. The snow won't last long though.

Picked up 3.7" last night... that was the best measurement I could come up with. Beat my expectations. Last band is pushing through now. Nice flake size.

Thanks. By the look of the map, you would think the lake is ice free with a WNW fecth. The flow will be WSW as you mentioned, around 260. At least we have the clipper snows... 2-3" seems possible.

Anyone know how CLE's snowfall map is generated? Another over done map.

Same total here. Not sure why CLE is so bullish on LE. Looks like 2-4" from the clipper... but I wouldn't count on much, if any LES. Winds don't come around WNW'erly behind the clipper... although the GFS is close for short time before shifting to the WSW. Would be nice to notch a 4" event considering yesterday's bust. Next weeks overrunning potential looks good as well. Should stay all snow in Northern Ohio. Nice to have a couple of things to look forward to after yesterday.

CLE has waved the white towel on this event understandably. I'd say on to the next but I think this was the last shot at a significant LES event. Ice cover will really increase the next couple of days which will put a cap on the moisture. You can see slush forming on the crib webcam. Maybe we'll see another inch or two as the weak bands swing back north.

It's very rare, but happens on occasion. My poorly drawn arrow was pointing at the band originating from lake michigan. That huron band won't be moving too far past the OH state line. Seems to wiggling eastward actually.

Nice view of the band that pushed through earlier... it definitely had a connection to lake MI. Winds are coming around more northerly and the connection is backing to the west. Lots of dry air out there with clear skies in the northern side of the lake.

We've had a few good bursts in Chagrin. Flake size was ok as well. The bands are migrating instead of staying in one place. To see the higher totals we'll need a band to lock on place. Considering the fetch I don't think that ice is the limiting factor. Once the fetch turns more westerly I do think the ice will play more of a role.

A band is trying to take shape over the lake. If you look at the infrared satellite there is a connection upstream to lake michigan. Here's the latest CLE snowfall map through 1am tonight. Definitely seems high outside of where the lake huron band sets up.

Congrats on the snow last night. You may be in the jackpot area today if the lake huron band sets-up over you... which is possible. Post a pic as the band comes through... I'm sure snowfall rates will be insane.

Not sure how far east of me you are... but wouldn't be surprised if you picked up a little more as the radar showed the heavier returns just to the east. I'm just west of snyder rd. off of bell.

Picked up 2.5" last night. Must have fallen pretty quickly. We'll see what today brings... not feeling really good but hopefully the radar will improve. The lake huron band will be incredible.

Les is looking good upstream. Nice sign. The band is intensifying over Lake Erie as well. Should be an interesting morning. The CLe discussion basically mirrored your thoughts for tomorrow.

This snowfall map from CLE is a lot more realistic in terms of the heaviest snowfall placement.