NEOH

The snow has tapered off in Chagrin. Just measured 1.5". Damn easterly downslope flow.

Just eyeballing it looks like an inch or so in Chagrin. The easterly winds seem to weaking the precip as it pushes north. The snow band is pushing north quickly. Hopefully we can get another inch. I wasn't expecting the snow to be exiting so quickly.

CLE is calling for the heaviest snow from Toledo through CLE. 3" seems a bit much but we'll see. 312 PM EST TUE JAN 20 2015 A FAST MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD REACH THE I-71 CORRIDOR AROUND DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF AS MUCH AS INCH COULD OCCUR ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR BY DAYBREAK. ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL IN A LINE FROM NEAR TOLEDO THROUGH THE CLEVELAND METRO AREA TO NEAR YOUNGSTOWN. UP TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THOSE AREAS WITH SLIGHTLY LESS AMOUNTS FURTHER NORTH AND SOUTH. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

Snowing pretty hard in Chagrin. Radar is filling in to the west as well. If this continues an inch+ would be a lock.

Picked up .5" last night. Enough to whiten up the old snow. On to the clipper train this week.

Well, looks like the thaw is over. Rain/snow mix most of the morning has transitioned to flurries. Still a nice 3-4 inches out there. I'll take this type of January thaw any day. Only places showing grass are the wind swept areas.

The folks at CLE just can't get enough of the warmth.... They should look for jobs in the south. Up to 42/32 Imby. Not a lot of melting with the low DP. The snow is compacting though. The 12z gfs was a nice hit with the clipper. Looked like the euro brought it right over us though. Great post on the upcoming pattern btw.

Well, its safe to say he's definitely not a winter sports enthusiast Afternoon model runs continue the boring pattern. Hopefully we can cash in on the clipper parade.

Interesting disco from CLE. Clearly there are no weenies working there. Unless I'm mistaken, aren't we looking at an 18 hour window or so with temps in the upper 30's? I'm not sure that qualifies as warm spell. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING WITH IT ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT AND COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING. THIS COLD AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BE A GLANCING BLOW AS WELL. THE ONE GOOD THING IS THE WARM AIR ADVECTION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY KEEP PRECIPITATION MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND WILL HELP MELT OFF SOME OF THIS SNOW PACK WE HAVE IN PLACE. SO FAR...QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND SHOULD LIMIT ANY THREAT FOR RUNOFF AND RAPID STREAM RISES AND PROBLEMS WITH ICE JAMMING. BUT...AS ALWAYS...WILL KEEP A WATCH ON THE ICE SITUATION THROUGH THE WARM SPELL.

It's pretty much closed for business right now. With such a significant amount of ice concentration it can only push around so much. There will be the usual break up/open area just east of the western basin. Here's the ice concentration... pretty impressive.

Temp was -4 IMBY this morning. Recovered to 16 now, but clouds moved in around noon so that should be it. Yeah, its pretty amazing how quickly the lake iced over considering how mild December was. Any lake enhancement would certainly be limited, although a windy storm would push the ice around. The warm up is now looking like a one day shot in the upper 30's. We'll have to rely on synoptic snows the rest of the way. I forgot how many times were grazed by storms last winter.

It seems every winter when you leave town we get a decent snowfall . The thin clouds and flurries made for an awesome sunrise this morning. The next week looks quiet, and seasonable. Yeah, arctic air just doesn't produce big LES totals in this area... too bad the lake will be mostly iced by tomorrow morning.

I take it you are back at OU. Definitely our best synoptic system of the year. Snow consistency makes a big difference. Yeah, too bad the winds are turning ne'erly....otherwise it's a great set up for a Lake Huron fetch. Huron county might jackpot:) Go Bucks!

Banding has been confined to the lakeshore and over the lake this morning. Might be tough to see another inch around here. EDIT: Storm total is just under 5". I bet the lakeshore areas have exceeded that as the heaviest bands remained along and north of the coast most of the morning. Snow has moved east so that should do it... unless we see snow showers from the northerly flow.

Same here. Measured 3.7" a few minutes ago. These heavier snows always seem much more substantial, especially with the powder we've had. Hopefully we can add another inch or so today. Seems doable looking at the radar to the west.

Snowing nicely outside... Radar looks great. Temp now 30/24. Everything looks on track. Edit: down to 28/26. Wonder if the snowfall jackpot might be over Lake Erie.snowing heavily now though.

30/12 IMBY. 12z (GFS and Para) seemed to have beefed up snow amounts across N OH. Good to see. Not sure about the euro but think 2-3" may be a little low, perhaps 4".

CLE is calling for 2-3", with possible mixing around the 30 corridor. Seems like a decent forecast at this point.

Pretty good model agreement on the overrunning snows for Sunday night/Monday. With the strong hp pushing south, I wonder if we don't see a shift south. Should be good for a few inches.

I believe the winds will be turning more sw'erly overnight as the ridge builds in. Congrats on the snow today. I could see the city of Northeast getting hit but not sure about the rest of the county.

CLE extended the LES advisory until 4pm Saturday. Not sure why Geauga would be included, at least the entire county as there isn't one model that brings the snow inland. Strange. NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion -- COLDER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING WHICH WILL DESTABILIZE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE...SUPPORTING INCREASE LAKE EFFECT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDER BUT BEST CHANCES EAST OF OUR AREA. THE WSW FLOW WILL KEEP ASHTABULA AND ERIE PA COUNTIES UNDER THE BULLSEYE FOR SNOW MOST OF THE NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CAPE AROUND 06Z. COULD SEE HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 2"/HR BRIEFLY DURING THIS TIME FRAME. HAVE ADDED ASHTABULA TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LOOKING AT AN ADDITIONAL 3-6" IN THE ADVISORY AND 6-12 IN THE WARNING.

We should hit 4" easily. Dumping snow right now. Looks like the band stalled around 422, and will probably push north as winds veer WSW. The snow won't last long though.

Picked up 3.7" last night... that was the best measurement I could come up with. Beat my expectations. Last band is pushing through now. Nice flake size.

Thanks. By the look of the map, you would think the lake is ice free with a WNW fecth. The flow will be WSW as you mentioned, around 260. At least we have the clipper snows... 2-3" seems possible.

Anyone know how CLE's snowfall map is generated? Another over done map.