NEOH

Well, I busted on my call of 3-5" being to high. A bust I'll gladly take. Not sure how much we got last night but 4-5" just eyeballing. Still snowing hard. Great flake size so it's piling up quickly. Definite terrain enhancement by the radar representation.

Huge parachutes coming down. Won't last long but a nice surprise as we always have a hard time holding on to cold air.

Hopefully we can squeeze out 2-4". It is actually dumping mostly snow and sleet here. Figured we would see a quick flip to rain... but the cold air is hanging tough.

Had a nice view of the lake flying in yesterday. Not much open water at all outside of the northern shore. There were a few large cracks but nothing substantial. What appears as open water on the visible satellite is just ice with very little snow on it so it has a dark appearance. CLE's seems pretty optimistic about the snow tonight. 3-5" seems way too high IMO but hopefully I'm wrong. Edit: Kitchen sink coming down in Chagrin. Rain mixed with huge flakes and sleet.

That's funny... when I left cle on sunday morning there was more than inch. I guess the new snow kept the depth the same. Nothing but patchy snow in chicago. Looking forward to getting home.

Nice. Thanks for letting me know. Not a bad snowfall at all considering.

Thanks for the snow update. I'm going with your snow totals since I'm out of town. So, you had 1.5" yesterday (evening), and another 2" last night?

Thanks. Yeah, it was pounding early this morning but I'm sure it didn't last long.

DTA - How much snow did you get this morning? I left my house at 5:30 and it was coming down with about .5"+ already.

Yep, looking good from mfd down to c'bus. The axis is too much NW to SE... A little flatter solution and this area would do better.

GFS came onboard with a more southern track for the clipper. Euro has been steady with the southern track. Instead of worrying about mixing issues... we may be looking at a whiff to the south. We'll see what todays model runs show now that the shortwave should be fully sampled. I'll be in Chicago so at least I won't miss the storm.

Foggy with freezing drizzle/mist in Chagrin. Radar looks to be filling back in over the lake . Edit: Looks like a trough is over the lake. Wondering if it will sink south overnight or just move east. Some pretty nice returns out toward the islands.

The snow has tapered off in Chagrin. Just measured 1.5". Damn easterly downslope flow.

Just eyeballing it looks like an inch or so in Chagrin. The easterly winds seem to weaking the precip as it pushes north. The snow band is pushing north quickly. Hopefully we can get another inch. I wasn't expecting the snow to be exiting so quickly.

CLE is calling for the heaviest snow from Toledo through CLE. 3" seems a bit much but we'll see. 312 PM EST TUE JAN 20 2015 A FAST MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD REACH THE I-71 CORRIDOR AROUND DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF AS MUCH AS INCH COULD OCCUR ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR BY DAYBREAK. ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL IN A LINE FROM NEAR TOLEDO THROUGH THE CLEVELAND METRO AREA TO NEAR YOUNGSTOWN. UP TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THOSE AREAS WITH SLIGHTLY LESS AMOUNTS FURTHER NORTH AND SOUTH. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

Snowing pretty hard in Chagrin. Radar is filling in to the west as well. If this continues an inch+ would be a lock.

Picked up .5" last night. Enough to whiten up the old snow. On to the clipper train this week.

Well, looks like the thaw is over. Rain/snow mix most of the morning has transitioned to flurries. Still a nice 3-4 inches out there. I'll take this type of January thaw any day. Only places showing grass are the wind swept areas.

The folks at CLE just can't get enough of the warmth.... They should look for jobs in the south. Up to 42/32 Imby. Not a lot of melting with the low DP. The snow is compacting though. The 12z gfs was a nice hit with the clipper. Looked like the euro brought it right over us though. Great post on the upcoming pattern btw.

Well, its safe to say he's definitely not a winter sports enthusiast Afternoon model runs continue the boring pattern. Hopefully we can cash in on the clipper parade.

Interesting disco from CLE. Clearly there are no weenies working there. Unless I'm mistaken, aren't we looking at an 18 hour window or so with temps in the upper 30's? I'm not sure that qualifies as warm spell. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING WITH IT ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT AND COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING. THIS COLD AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BE A GLANCING BLOW AS WELL. THE ONE GOOD THING IS THE WARM AIR ADVECTION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY KEEP PRECIPITATION MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND WILL HELP MELT OFF SOME OF THIS SNOW PACK WE HAVE IN PLACE. SO FAR...QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND SHOULD LIMIT ANY THREAT FOR RUNOFF AND RAPID STREAM RISES AND PROBLEMS WITH ICE JAMMING. BUT...AS ALWAYS...WILL KEEP A WATCH ON THE ICE SITUATION THROUGH THE WARM SPELL.

It's pretty much closed for business right now. With such a significant amount of ice concentration it can only push around so much. There will be the usual break up/open area just east of the western basin. Here's the ice concentration... pretty impressive.

Temp was -4 IMBY this morning. Recovered to 16 now, but clouds moved in around noon so that should be it. Yeah, its pretty amazing how quickly the lake iced over considering how mild December was. Any lake enhancement would certainly be limited, although a windy storm would push the ice around. The warm up is now looking like a one day shot in the upper 30's. We'll have to rely on synoptic snows the rest of the way. I forgot how many times were grazed by storms last winter.

It seems every winter when you leave town we get a decent snowfall . The thin clouds and flurries made for an awesome sunrise this morning. The next week looks quiet, and seasonable. Yeah, arctic air just doesn't produce big LES totals in this area... too bad the lake will be mostly iced by tomorrow morning.

I take it you are back at OU. Definitely our best synoptic system of the year. Snow consistency makes a big difference. Yeah, too bad the winds are turning ne'erly....otherwise it's a great set up for a Lake Huron fetch. Huron county might jackpot:) Go Bucks!