NEOH
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Everything posted by NEOH
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That's weird... I don't experience any glitches with the weather.cod.edu site at all. Maybe because I copied and pasted the URL. Who knows.
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https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=ILN-N0Q-0-24-100-usa-rad
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Euro has been rock steady with this storm for days now. I wouldn't get too caught up with the wavering NAM runs.
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NAM seems to be coming around. Any mixing should remain near or south of Youngstown.
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Euro has been rock steady with this storm for awhile. Looks like we'll be several counties away from any potential of any mixing -- perfect spot for the heavy snow.
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With CLE measuring 100 ft. off the runway more like 6.2"
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Euro looked great. Any movement was just noise. Could be more lake enhancement that what the models are showing. Lots of open water in the central basin and with NNE winds the ice should push around quite a bit.
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Euro has been the most consistent model with this storm. Great to see it hold at 12z. Solid 8-12".
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Ukie is a nice storm statewide. Precip is just more expansive on the NW side.
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Nice. Good to have a little wiggle room either way.
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The storm track is about as good as it gets for the I71 corridor in Ohio... from Cincy right to CLE.
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Huge jumps like that this close in are definitely a red flag... I'd put the NAM in the possible but not probable category. Still think 6-10" generally. There is a surprising amount of open water in the central basin so there will be some lake enhancement which could boost totals
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No major red flags with today's model runs. I like where we sit at this point. Would much rather be on the northwest side that be sweating the wtod. A general 6-10" seems reasonable. Sharp cutoff on the northwest side though.
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A whiff southeast? Great model runs again today. Too far out to get overly optimistic but great to see consensus within the models.
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What a weenie Euro run this afternoon... If only we could lock it in. Regardless, next week offers a lot of potential in the eastern lakes.
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Ensemble's look great for next week for the Toledo and east crowd. Picked up just under an inch of sugary snow last night.
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Looking like a 1- 4" type snowfall this weekend depending on the model. Getting concerned the potential larger storm early next week could be a miss to the SE.
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It took the small ice rink I built in my backyard longer to freeze than it took the western basin. Nickel and dime snows the past few days. The weekend is definitely looking interesting. Lets get one more major snowfall and call it a winter :).
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Now that's a lot of ice. Hard to believe the majority of our snow has come from synoptic events this year given how long the lake was open.
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Just dumping LES -- cotton ball size flakes. Nice band hugging the shoreline and should remain there for most of the day. Too bad there is a lot of ice on the western basin as this is a perfect wind direction.
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Might be able to walk across the frozen lake to Canada with those temps. Looks like a couple of inches of snow tonight with the cold front passage -- only a 3-4 hour window of warmer temps so there shouldn't be too much melting.
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Blocking would have to suddenly disappear for that to happen. Guessing that low would take more are southern track... but that potential storm is still out in no mans land at this point.
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Yep Sunday looks interesting. Still a long way out but great to see this on all of the models. Considering how cold it will be ratio's will be excellent. Now if only we could pull of a WNW wind direction behind it.
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We should get a quick thump prior to temps going above freezing... the front comes through quickly so there won't be a lot of time for melting. You may do really well up by the lakeshore with lake effect given the expected wind direction. We'll be frigid with mostly sunny skies here to your south.
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About the same here... we may squeeze out 3" over a 48 hour period.
