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WinterWolf

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  1. WinterWolf
    John..nobody is angry. And you’re not the end all be all on here either. You can think what you want professor, but day 5 is tenuous at best. Sure there are some times where a model latches on to something at 5 days out and takes it home. But I haven’t seen that happen in quite some time. But Thanks for the tip, typhoon tip.
  2. WinterWolf
    Listen, both those guys feel it’s gonna bump north. You’ll see em both return when that starts to happen, or it goes to Bermuda completely. if ya get a couple inches it’s a win. It’s Sunday for god sakes. This is a Wednesday deal if it happens? You’re as fickle as the wind.
  3. WinterWolf
    For sure.
  4. WinterWolf
    I’ve seen plenty of conducive flows where the modeling loses storms also. D5 is a crapshoot at best.
  5. WinterWolf
    Or…not knowing what to do because there’s not enough or adequate sampling. That happens too.
  6. WinterWolf
    They both suck!
  7. WinterWolf
    Yup. And Its even funnier that people are saying it’s a miss for sure now. You’d think some of these people were newbies here? A couple days ago the high was retreating and not gonna keep the cold locked in too…now it’s snowing in Virginia. I mean everybody thinks they know what’s gonna happen on Wednesday, when it’s still Sunday at not even noon time… and they absolutely don’t.
  8. WinterWolf
    That model blows no matter what it shows. If it showed a foot I wouldn’t put any stock in it either.
  9. WinterWolf
    Well then that’s On them. No black hole here at all. I’ll be perfectly happy with 2” of snow if it comes. The fact that we’re tracking a chance is what I felt would happen anyway. This is far from figured out …for good or for bad outcomes here in SNE.
  10. WinterWolf
    Nothing wrong with posting a map, as long as folks realize the obvious caveats at that lead time, and don’t get sucked in.
  11. WinterWolf
    GFS just showed DC with 6-8.” As I said NYC was supposedly out of the game on Friday lol. It’s Sunday…this is gonna keep trending. Maybe it becomes a mid Atlantic special? Wouldn’t that be ironic. Or we get the supposed bumps north as all the pros were touting…that’s still a distinct possibility.
  12. WinterWolf
    Lol it was just a couple days ago NYC wasn’t even in the game for any snow…folks were telling Anthony he was out of the game completely.
  13. WinterWolf
    Never trust D5 guidance period.
  14. WinterWolf
    Ya what’s wrong the 2-3”? I’m game for that. We take that and run in the first week of December. And it Adds to my .25” from a week ago lol. And there will be more shifts/changes coming being it’s still only Sunday.
  15. WinterWolf
    I think it could end up as anything at this point. I do think we muster a couple inches inland. Nothing wrong with that if that’s how it pans out.
  16. WinterWolf
    A light event is still a possibility. Thank you for the update on Jerry, glad he’s at least in the right place under medical care/observation. I’m not a super religious person, but I prayed to the almighty last night to take care and watch over him. Jerry is a great guy.
  17. WinterWolf
    Thanks for the update. We’ll either it’s gonna end up leading the way here…or it goes down in flames and we perhaps crown a new king.
  18. WinterWolf
    Ahh dam Jerry. So hope everything is ok. All the best to you. Dam I feel bad hearing this. Sending Thoughts and prayers to you.
  19. WinterWolf
    Are we posting in here now? Jerry, Ant, Ray you guys staying up for the Euro?
  20. WinterWolf
    However, the GEFS ensembles have been pretty dam consistent for quite a while now. Don’t know if that carry’s any more weight, or if we can gleam any insight from that at this point being 4 days out still?
  21. WinterWolf
    Ya I think that’s a very good point to take into account here.
  22. WinterWolf
    I was thinking the same thing Jerry.
  23. WinterWolf
    I’m where I was all along, which is I think we have a shot at accumulating snow Wednesday. Which was my only point from the beginning. I’m not buying the 10-12” the GFS is showing at the moment. But I can see 2-4” for interior/inland CT.
  24. WinterWolf
    Ant that gives you 6” too….GFS still hitting the Miller B idea, wonder if the other models start heading towards it. Or if it loses the idea tomorrow?
  25. WinterWolf
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