WinterWolf

Did it come west at all?

Not good for us here…but we’ll see?

Definitely more tucked in…but very far south.

Huh? Shouldn’t that be the other way around? I’d want it closer to Nantucket than Bermuda.

OTS is the much bigger concern for us imo.

Agree. But it’s got to get close enough to us to matter at all. That’s more my concern. Definitely an explosive set up…just don’t want to see the Carolina’s and Virginia and the Delmarva get buried, and have the sun out here. That would really suck.

I don’t think anybody called it dead…except the guy in Taunton maybe, but that’s the same with him in every system. I said I was more concerned with the slide east OTS…but hope I’m wrong. It’s certainly far from dead. If the Euro ticks back west, then it’ll really help the cause.

IMO the OTS idea is the bigger concern…she wants to slide SE at the moment. Obviously that could change being where we are in lead time…but the vast bulk of modeling today is SE currently.

That was the virga storm here..snowed for hrs and hrs aloft here, but never reached the ground. Lost a ton of precip to dry air inland here. Southeast CT crushed it cuz they saturated super quick and snowed to beat the band.

Every system is different obviously, was just referencing that that was progged to stay south vin its preceding approach too. My gut tells me this goes OTS..but I hope I’m wrong.

The 96 January blizzard…was a southern storm in the beginning too, that started to gain latitude later in the game…hoping this can follow that idea.

No doubt it’s a great looking set up…at least as it currently stands, but we all know these little things change as the said timeframe approaches, and that’s where the uncertainty lies. Hopefully they change slightly in our favor.

That ridge out west(with its apex over the chimney of Idaho) in that depiction is in a perfect spot…we like to see that. Hopefully it can get up here, and not slip OTS.

That’s not how this works unfortunately. You see, when the Pope hates a set up, and tells everybody that it will never work etc etc..like he just did with this past one, that’s when we get the storm. When he’s pumped like he is now, it’s pretty much a gonner. We’ve even it many times sadly. So the only plus we have going right now, is that it’s still 5 days away. But the pope being giddy is a bad sign for sure. But maybe he proves his track record wrong(finds the nut) with this one. But it’s not a good sign at all.

That’s what we want to see on the ensembles at this point, no? I know we all love to see the huge Op eye candy, but I’m somewhat happy it’s not a direct hit just yet up here, at 5 days out. That can happen in a day or two .

Thanks Don…didn’t realize that was an ensemble mean..that was why I was a little confused. Makes sense.

Ahh ok. I didn’t know that was an ensemble mean. Was thinking it was an Op run. That makes sense now. Thanks for the clarification. Appreciate it.

A ton of energy there…but why is it insane at 6 days out?

4seasons just said that it didn’t close off early enough. But Whatever, I just hope this one can get close enough.

Geek, this may not even get up here. So no maps until we’re sure this is coming up, and is close enough for a good hit. Tomorrow is not the time for a snow map. Chill for a bit. If it becomes more imminent…post your maps then.

It Was meant to help…a little constructive criticism was all. Nothing wrong with enthusiasm, just keep it real.

I remember Joe Fury saying that it was just too far offshore for us, and that it could have been so much more. I Didn’t realize it went over the BM(but that is still a tad east for optimal impacts for WOR folks as you know).

It did…but was still way the heck out there, and gave us a good storm, but it could have been so much better had it been closer. Let’s hope this can come closer than that did.

Please, read more, and post less for the time being. That would help you and all of us.

Hopefully it can get closer than 1/4/18 did…that would have been biblical had it gotten closer. But it gave us a good storm despite it being so far east.