WinterWolf

Yup…good I hope this is the end. We need to bury this terd of a winter.

We can only hope. I’m In the 1-2” zone…fitting end to the king of ALL RATS of a winter.

Nahh..it will flip again. Just a matter of time, it’s all cycles. But whatever. I’m fine where I live…it’s home and we do alright when the winter is producing. It’s no Death Valley thank goodness …so No complaints.

The bottom line is, which model does one believe and use as a forecast? Cuz if they use the Euro…there’s not a whole lot of snow for alot of people in CT/SNE outside Hubby and Ineedsnow. If you choose to believe the GFS and the Canadian and the NAM…well then it’s a different ballgame for CT. Flip a coin I guess at this point.

Is that a good thing for SNE?

Ya, we get it …Man you’re milking this for all it’s worth..holy smokes. Weenie of the year for you.

Bust potential is high in both directions…it could be Major Disappointment..or Major excitement.

The inconsistency is abysmal the last day and a half. …that’s all there is to it

You guys have been telling me how good it is with these…it’s leading the way. Lmao. It sucks! Period. Can’t keep a solution to save its ass. Not that the others have been any better. But I don’t want to hear how good it is anymore…cuz it isn’t. JAM.

They’re usually very erratic, and just not all to good most of the time. But the CMC has been better and quite consistent with this system I have to say. Gotta give it some credit imo here. Made the most sense imo for the set up we have here.

Oh I’m on board with you…it will certainly be worth it. Thank you so much for posting and sharing. Appreciate it.

Curious, How does the Canadian look for the rest of SNE …other than Worcester and Taunton?

Was just gonna say CMC has been consistent and making decent sense of the set up.

Yes..agreed.

The NAM has been doing half way decent imo, and making more sense than most.

I’m not buying the fast occlusions either…that to seems off..

Can anybody else get in on the fun other than E Mass? God it was old 5 yrs ago, it’s downright ridiculous now.

This is what I mean. And something is very off with modeling today....things don’t make sense.

Yes, absolutely. This is why I brought this up…real meteorology is needed now, not just model watching…cuz they’re obviously lost the last two days.

This is what I mean…I agree with you. So I think this is where your knowledge and experience has to carry on, despite what a model is or isn’t showing. Real meteorology needs to be applied. Walt Dragg agrees with you, and so does Tip.

Not.

Oh for sure Steve, and that was part of my point. Obviously these things need to come together precisely, but some(a lot) of these runs are insanely messed up. And I guess my point was, sometimes common sense and relying on what you’ve learned, and asking yourself(METS/knowledgeable hobbyists like yourself) what actually makes the most sense here? Since modeling is just off on a bender so far…and not providing any clear solutions yet.

Maybe the NAM has the right idea, but this occluding at light speed idea seems spurious to me. It’s in a perfect spot for a whole SNE crushing, but it only hammers one small area, cuz it’s dying as fast as it got going…c’mon that just seems outlandish.

Everyone of these models is jumping around every single cycle. Everyone of them is drastically different, and the same models are drastically different each run. So, a question for the pros and very knowledgeable hobbyists, what actually makes sense here, with the ingredients we have coming together? Tip eluded to this possibly coming together more cohesively and becoming much more of a problem(colder and snowier) than many models are showing currently for alot of the area. A lot of these runs don’t make sense. So maybe as Tip put it, we need to use some old fashioned meteorology to actually figure this out. A more cohesive storm that’s not chasing convection out to the Flemish cap that stalls near the cape does make more sense than these outlandish solutions we’ve been seeing. Just thinking out loud here.

I’m far western Hartford county..I’ll take 6-8