Great post Layman. You’re learning fast. The guys in here in the know are very good about explaining things. Keep asking your questions.
The person who asked Ray that question many times can get caught up in the constant negative hand wringing that some display around here. It’s a detriment to the board. However, I will give that person credit for actually asking a good and fair question in that instance.
Many are scarred and jaded due to last years total Rat of a season. And I can completely understand that. It’s very easy to just go with the persistence type idea, and when any little thing doesn’t go the way they think it should, they say see…it’s just like last year all over again.
But that’s the exact wrong way to approach things. This is not last year. It’s already different than last year. If one actually looks at the set up, it’s clearly different.
Sure, one can always find something that’s similar, and then claim and exaggerate it’s the same, as some of these folks do and whine about. But the truth is it’s not.
November finished 2 degrees below normal this year at BDL. But If we listened to the trolls back at the end of October, they told us that this coming November(despite a couple cool days)was going to be a blast furnace overall this year, just like it was last year. That’s some funny stuff, now that we look back at a solidly below normal month. With many frosts and freezes, and many we’ll below normal high temp days.
This is not last year. And ultimately that’s all anybody needs to know. I/We won’t finish at 12” of snow (normal is about 50” for me) like I did last year here in west of the River interior CT. That I will bet on.
Your new, and learning, just be careful not to get caught up in the negativity, and fake nonsense that some spew here. Ray can explain his reasoning better than I can, so I’ll leave that to him. But he is definitely one of the good sources to learn from. Guy knows his stuff, and can lay it out for you very clearly.