WinterWolf

The hyperbole starts to ramp up, when modeling is indecisive, so posters start to throw around crazy ideas like dry through December, on November 24th lol. Just like back in early October, with the ridiculous frost ideas…which was all silly BS. We watch and wait as Jeff(dryslot) just said in the posts before this one. We’ve seen this so many times before. And if it misses, that’s just fine too.

Agreed. That’s usually how these go. And if it’s a miss, big frieken deal. Everybody calm the F down.

You guys know the deal…when you’ve made that decision to drive, and you’re in it, it’s like I gotta just get through this and get to where I’m going.

Exactly. We know that feeling…Very nerve racking for sure.

Cutter to non event…no consistency.

Here we go.

Total about 12-13hrs …long/strenuous dam day of driving in the snow.

So you’re going to France?

I’ve driven home from St. Agatha back in March of 18….through a full blown blizzard, towing my two place trailer back to CT. It ain’t fun..but I made it. Four wheel drive, at barely 30 mph on 95, one lane barely visible at 12:00 pm, from Houlton to northern Massachusetts..a long scarey drive home.

You’ll meh your way to a few inches most likely…. 6 days away, a lot can change.

Yes we do…I’ll take that look, and hopefully we can score a couple events to take the edge off.

Canadian is always erratic…it is still 6 days out, so I guess we are gonna see swings, but it ain’t the best model.

Yup. Let’s see where we are by Tuesday.

Oh ya…for sure.

Something to watch/track…that alone is a good thing.

I’ll take 3-4” of snow, and be very happy. Not greedy. And up north does well too..win win imo.

I’m not/nor was I ever saying there isn’t skill there…I just choose not to bet on it like it’s a done deal. Whatever reason this wasn’t seen 3-4 weeks go, I don’t pretend to know?. But it was not seen, and that’s reality. And that’s always been my point…things that can’t be seen at that lead can change things in a big way, as we are now seeing. So as you said, Let’s take advantage of this as much as we can.

It’s always a marriage of sorts with all these indicators/everything. Yes, I agree with you 100% on hoping we can score some events…would be great for all of us.

Believe me, I’m not, and Nobody should be thinking wire to wire stuff…it doesn’t work that way here. It will relax after a period of colder weather. But the skill from 2-3 weeks ago was crap, and that was what I was going back and forth with you about. We’ve all seen it do that in both directions many times. And that was my message. No, that’s not true at all. But I just don’t trust 4 week progs, it’s low skill imo, as were seeing. Sure, Sometime they can be right…lots of times they are not.

I’m very Glad to see this Scott is gone from just 2.5 weeks ago on November 4th, when I was trying to explain that we didn’t know what 3-4 weeks from then was going to bring.

I think it will this year.

Up to this point for sure…but let’s see how this evolves over the next 7 days. There’s some potential here.

You’re lucky…no sun here..sprinkles, wet damp and cold.

I think it would help some certainly…especially for your immediate area on the coast. But if you get the right ingredients to come together(obviously a big if in late November, and at 7 days lead) that wouldn’t make much difference imo.