LakeEffectKing

Hyannis Harbor webcam

https://www.anchorin.com/hyannis-harbor-cam.asp

Congrats to our forum brethren!  Looks historic to me.

One cautionary note, with the wind and liquid equivalents of 2+ inches, roofs of structures, especially weakened ones, will be taxed.. The wind will cause unequal distribution of snowfall and pack it down to become more dense.

 Enjoy fellow snow lovers!

25 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I've never met Wiz in person. Is he like covered in webs?

I have...and no...

23 minutes ago, tim123 said:

The meltdowns are epic. But I feel the pain. 

It is epic...

9 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

Lol. Bad Karma won’t help us!  
 

It’s still 81 hours out. Nothing is impossible at this juncture. I had my heart ripped out of my chest too may times growing up down there!

Pattern is too progressive...this is the coast's storm....

9 minutes ago, tim123 said:

I mean don't look like a monster but long duration lake enhanced.

GEFS amped a bit and more west solutions...

6 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

 

 

Might as well give that to the Titans because they beat both this season

Steelers beat both Titans and Bills....so give us our 7th ring!!

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

If they squib kick brings the clock down to 6 seconds with 1 play instead of 2. 13 seconds allowed 2 plays.

Not squib....kick it normal to about the 8yd. line, and make them field it.

Just now, wolfie09 said:

A hair over 2" so far, flakes are incredible right now.

Rates 2"/hr....???? 

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

yup, got the further south right and the middle finger dry zone over me well situated too 

You guys need some pretty specific conditions to cash in...drove 177 many times...going into town passed the wind farm,  snowfall rates just dry up....everytime. 

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

Yeah, except I don't think Lady Yerdon jackpotted...yet.... hopefully....

Yeah...I probably picked a run too early for the Euro to demonstrate the differences....but going back several model runs, RGEM consistently had max totals about 10-12 mi. north of apparent verification, while Euro was more or less closer to verification. 

15 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Yeah, I noticed last night while looking at radar that the Ontario band settled farther south than the models projected.

As Tombo noted earlier, the Euro actually nailed the Ontario band a bit better than the RGEM, at a day or so leads.

18 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said:

Nice morning walk with the dog!  The eagle that flew over didn’t seem to mind the cold. 

 Man.... turn the heat up a bit inside!!!! Lol!

23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

The models show barely anything south of Oswego to Parish, so I hope you are right on us getting even a few inches.

Ratios will be quite high.... And I expect a few, much weaker, bands to form Sun. eve. behind the main band that sweeps through Sunday afternoon.

14 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

This sucksssss........

Wow!

-13 in Caz....

This place would be hoppin' over over the next 2 weeks if this verifies.

For E and SE of L. Ontario, it looks like Sunday's LES event will be a relatively short/transient event (a few hours?), south of ART.  

That said, rates will be stout, based on 3k and RGEM depictions ATT.

Thick DGZ and Omega intersect almost perfectly. (see below) Ratios should be well north of 20:1 with rates, at times, approaching 4"/hr. when near ART.

As the band settles southward through Oswego county Sunday, rates should subside some and then lower substantially as it moves south of the Oswego/Onondaga Co. border.

I see Watertown area (+/- 7mi. North or south) getting 10-14+"...5-10" in Oswego Co. and 2-5" south of there.

Monster storm is back on GFS.... Actually throws central New York a bone.

This pattern could very well produce something (pop out in the models) that we can track with in the next week.

2.5" Sun night

3" Yesterday 

3.5" overnight...still light snow...

9" Total in Cazenovia 

Great pics/videos from our WNY posters!!!

55 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Still snowing very nicely here. I am hoping we see some enhancement as the winds continue to veer more off the lake in our direction.

You/we will...  Should be a pretty nice back 1/4 of the storm for us.

For all the Western New Yorkers who don't often get to feel the impacts of a dieing deformation band, you'll notice that,  as the storm pulls out radar returns will look weaker but it'll snow surprisingly hard under those relatively weaker returns.