LakeEffectKing

21 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

Solid! Doesn't seem like such a bad winter after this storm. What's your annual average in Cazenovia?

Oswego's still well below average, but we've made some progress since our miserably warm months of Nov. and Dec. This is a great way to kick off February. 

 

140-150" average. 

 The snow has actually increased to moderate as I type this.

Still snowing nicely in Caz.  2.5" overnight 

Storm total now 16.5"

75" on the season. 

6 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

 

Just got home from work.  Since 4am another 3.5" giving me 14" accumulation total for Storm.  Still light snow...maybe with a bit of LES, I get to 16".

But as I've said the past couple days, south shore will most likely jack...

Poundtown in Bridgeport. 

Accumulation measurements in Caz.

--Start 7:00am yesterday to 3pm: 3.5"

--3pm to 9pm: 2.25"

--9pm to 4am: 4.5"

Total accumulations of 10.25"

Snowfall otg from storm is 8.75" so about 1.5" of settling/bottom melt.

Total otg with pre existing snowpack: 13.5"

Just caught a deer walking down my street.

Accumulation measurements in Caz.

--Start 7:00am yesterday to 3pm: 3.5"

--3pm to 9pm: 2.25"

--9pm to 4am: 4.5"

Total accumulations for Storm so far: 10.25"

Snowfall otg from storm is 8.75" so about 1.5" of settling/bottom melt.

Total otg with pre existing snowpack: 13.5"

I'm backup after 5 hr. nap...longer than I wanted.  (Damn rum!)

Going to take a measurement, eyeballing...10-12...

Flake size improving here, and intensity has increased to near 1"/hr.

The HRDPS shows pretty much accumulations since 18z closed to what we have observed...

And here are totals at noon tomorrow:

bulk of snow comes next 8hrs.

Just now, Syrmax said:

Thanks. I have burned out looking at models, soundings, Kuchies, etc.  I was a bit optimistic last night looking at some soundings...hopefully they end up right.

 Yeah, I think we have about a 4 to 6 hour period of better dendrites starting about 10 or 11pm.  Fingers crossed!

Flake size should improve for all areas (that are snowing).

I just checked some soundings going forward from the NAM and it looks like the DGZ grows a bit thickness wise and Omega increases within.  5.5" in Caz with moderate SN.

1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Looks like it's made it into southern Madison now but you should be good in the west central area.

Yeah, it going pretty good now...

Flake size near the taint is ok...was better earlier...but there are a few fluff bombs mixed in.

I love the smell of taint!!!!

7 minutes ago, sferic said:

Cheers!

Cheers to all, especially the snow starved CNY'ers!!!

3 minutes ago, sferic said:

Hopefully , fun for the  next 24 hours for Onondaga; currently a measly 1 inch or so OTG in Cicero

How are my nearby towns doing?

 

3.5" in Caz....snow increasing last 5 min.

3rd rum and diet down....#4 in the making. 

Got let out of work in Bridgeport early, back in Caz.  3" since start (7:00ish). Light to moderate snow, att...nice dendrite size. 29°

8 minutes ago, vortmax said:

You can see LE 'streamers' coming off LO here. Probably some 1"+ rates under these.

Yep....zoom in....

 That's why I think the South shore of lake Ontario ultimately ends up with as much snow as those close to the taint line.

31 minutes ago, PerintonMan said:

Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line.

Yeah, I'm pretty close in Cax...but I think Jack's might be shared with S. shore of L. Ontario as ratios go up on Friday...probably pushing 20+" there...

I'm driving to work, And at about 900' above sea level, From 1200' in Cazanovia,  It switched to rain with a few flakes mixed in around Chittenango. 

2 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Nam has 3rd wave vort. Lol. That actually is huge in regards to lake enhanced. 

 I agree. The south shore of lake Ontario with the higher ratios  later in the event, may jackpot.

The 12Z NAM is really lingering the snow through Friday afternoon for central and most of W. New York.