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EHoffman

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Everything posted by EHoffman

  1. EHoffman
    The NAM is always wet, Euro and GFS super dry
  2. EHoffman
    LWX issuing the watch at the same time every model goes super dry. Absolute poetry
  3. EHoffman
    I mean I just got in from a walk, sorry if this is old news. Upper NW near the MD border had snow/sleet on the ground while here we have wet mud. Interesting and only a couple miles difference.
  4. EHoffman
    They created Short Pump so they can marry their cousins! (Because they're so attractive)
  5. EHoffman
    This radar looks terrible, just ain't happening in DC.
  6. EHoffman
    I'll give you YES, >0.05" of ice accretion at +2000
  7. EHoffman
    Overcast, 34 degrees, I hurt my eyes straining looking for flurries
  8. EHoffman
    An inch and quarter of freezing rain would be some pretty incredible stuff though. Holy shit I'm rooting for freezing rain these past two years have been rough.
  9. EHoffman
    This is the weeniest image I've seen today and that's saying something
  10. EHoffman
    Alright DC Metro folks, if we all stand facing north and blow really hard we can maybe draw that 1" up to our area tonight.
  11. EHoffman
    I don't wanna jinx it but this has the makings of us getting a surprise half inch up here. Expect "we can pull 3"" out of this posts within 8 hours.
  12. EHoffman
    I would kill a man for half of that.
  13. EHoffman
    Probably still grappling with 850 issues lol
  14. EHoffman
    I think any model hugging is a recipe for missing expectations. Better to kinda take a mix of all solutions, take note of trends, and pay attention to climo!! Like for yesterday models had DC getting like 2-4 as late as 36 hours ago, but if you've ever been in a borderline situation in DC you just knew that wasn't going to happen.
  15. EHoffman
    Ehhh maybe, there has been some general hiccups across the models in terms of short range projections, but I think as a whole the models have been pretty spot on <48 hours out. I guess it's always smart to keep in mind climo 3-5 days out and expect things to change. At day 5 a model can show a threat but to ask it to set up ptype accurately seems to be stretch. I feel like we get hung up on snowfall and ptype at hr 120 and we miss the forest for the trees. I'm sure as hell guilty of it too.
  16. EHoffman
    Just like with this past storm, I do believe the writing is on the wall for Saturday. NAM has been money starting trends at this time period this winter.
  17. EHoffman
    Anyone else feel like this winter has been 10000x worse than last winter? I mean yeah last winter sucked, but we never really had a legit threat to track. This year it's been heartbreak after heartbreak. I'm kinda ready for spring guys...
  18. EHoffman
    Really interesting stuff, the theme of Metro DC snow has always been razor thin since as long as I've been here, but back in the day it would break our way seemingly more often. I wonder what kind of affect global warming as a whole has on our region; we can't exactly afford a 1-2C degree increase in most storms, and it seems like we just can't push through any more to just get under freezing. I feel like I'm living in the southern St. Mary's Co of 20 years ago, if that makes any sense.
  19. EHoffman
    Beautiful snowy DC...you jealous yet?
  20. EHoffman
    My brother in Eastern HoCo says he's dumping, approaching 3" he says
  21. EHoffman
    93% rain, 6% sleet, 1% moxie here.
  22. EHoffman
    Dumping on this board generally means -SN to maybe mod snow, so sounds about right.
  23. EHoffman
    Love seeing upper MoCo bros cashing in, you guys were responsible for a ton of rainy snow days for me when I was a kid in Rockville. Upper MoCo such an underrated snow zone.
  24. EHoffman
    I can't believe that band is all snow up by you, that's awesome. You must be dumping.
  25. EHoffman
    Don't hear sleet any more, so I guess like all rain here now. Supposedly 34 degrees
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