EHoffman

I think I agree with this post but can you maybe write it in English?

Sorry bro, I'll disappear again come April

I mean yeah, it can happen for sure. But I don't think many would be happy here with 2" on grass followed by rain. They'd call it a fail, especially given the globals right now. Like this storm could totally give us an inch or two before it rains, but I'd hardly call that a win or a high-impact event. For the record I hope I'm wrong I would kill for a solid thump.

That's all I'm saying though, is that historically these types of storms fail 99% of the time in DC even if we're getting slammed a few days in advance on "all the models." Of course it's not IMPOSSIBLE we bank significantly on this, but I find it to be a major uphill battle. Ehhh no power outages and slippery pavement that melted by the next morning. Pretty? Sure. High impact? In CVA and Southern VA, absolutely. Here, not so much. I honestly think the models are too cold and we're always warmer than progged down here.

We always fail in borderline scenarios in mid-to-late February like this, yes. It's very rare we actually cash on a frozen-to-rain scenario like this. I wouldn't call 2 days ago high-impact in DC at all. In fact, we avoided high impact by being a huge heat island and not having ZR accumulate anywhere for hours when it was 29 degrees because of the sun angle. It's a good example of why it's sooooo hard for us to bank in borderline scenarios.

Yes I do think SOME of the precip will fall frozen in DC. I just don't think there will be a signficant/any impact in the city. We are always too warm, we always switch over earlier than anticipated in these types of systems, and we're always too cold on the globals at this time frame. This is how DC weather works in the winter.

Yes hence why I said "for DC." Since I live in DC. And we do very poorly with these types of scenarios, almost always. I don't doubt that somewhere north of DC will get a significant winter event from this.

Writing on the wall already for this one...has the making of a classic wet snow that doesn't accumulate to brief sleet to rain for DC. I've seen this storm many times before.

Just got in from outside for a bit. Sidewalks basically a sleety sheet of ice, my car was encased in ice, roads look icy but generally ok. Probably like .2"

Back to freezing rain mostly here, ice seems to be accruing way more easily now. Still haven't been outside but sidewalks and roads losing that wet look and getting that icy look

Ice Storm Warning now for MoCo and DC, this probably should've happened last night huh.

Lots of sleet and even some flakes mixing in now down here.

Trees starting to sag a bit here. Things definitely starting to ice up and rain still fallng steady.

I mean it's 28 degrees, it should accrete, but the sun angle/UHI this late in February is very real. Starting to hear some pingers here too, but no real accretion going on.

Trees starting to get that icy look here, but again, not outside, so maybe I'm wrong. Continues to rain steadily.

Probably more surface area for the water to sit on a cold surface as opposed to a small tree branch grappling with sun angle.

Yeah but you probably have like 60 feet of elevation on me. I'm at the bottom of the hill.

Interesting...I live on Harvard and 18th so I'm right near Mt Pleasant. Also I haven't been outside I'm just looking through my apt window so take what I say with a grain of salt. But people seem to be walking normally on sidewalks

Light rain, pavement wet, don't really even see much accrual on branches or elevated surfaces.

Light rain and 29 degrees. Cars are cased in ice not sure what else, haven't been outside.

Only non-believers eschew the true King in favor of the false idol Euro

Look at this SWS out of Dallas NWS: ...BRIEF MODERATE SNOW NEAR AREA LAKES IN MONTAGUE...NORTHEASTERN ERATH... HOPKINS...RAINS...LAMAR...PALO PINTO...COLLIN...FANNIN... ELLIS... DALLAS...HOOD...VAN ZANDT...DENTON...PARKER...DELTA... ROCKWALL...HUNT...SOMERVELL...KAUFMAN...JOHNSON...WISE...JACK... TARRANT...COOKE AND GRAYSON COUNTIES... At 1030 AM CST, there have been multiple reports of localized light to moderate snow downstream of area lakes. These areas of snow are usually narrow bands confined to areas near and south of area lakes. Visibility may be reduced to less than 1 mile in snow for brief periods of time. These rapidly changing conditions could surprise drivers. Slow down and drive with extreme caution. LES in Texas

Flurrying here now. Or "dumping" as some might say on here

Nothing gets a bust going like LWX issuing watches.

Charlottesville is absolutely gorgeous in the snow, especially the campus.