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Posts posted by The 4 Seasons
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1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said:
About 1.3 inches here. Will be just enough to have to shovel everything again lol
damn 1.3 already in Orange (didnt it say Milford before)? wow. HRRR def blew it. So did the 00Z NAM. That model is so bad that it gets it right, then decides last second (00Z) to completely pull the rug. Nothings worse than NAM.
0.7" so far. Steady light snow. Should make it to an inch+
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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:
0.9" now, snowing at decent clip. For those bellyaching about the Nam, the best banding looks north of me if anything.
would be pretty hilarious...00Z NAM pulls the plug but its previous run was more correct....typical NAM style
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Light snow, ground getting white 29F.
18 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:First flakes, I feel a positive bust on this one for someone on the shore. Radar in NNJ actually looks healthy headed straight for interior SWCT
I think itll be about what we expected. NAM/3K just pulled the plug completely at 00Z so it would be pretty funny if it ends up being a positive bust and more in line with what 18Z had.
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12 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:
And you believe the 1.6 surrounded by a sea of 2 and 3 somethings was a legit timely accurate measurement? Okay whatever.
Did i say i believe that it is fully accurate timely report? I have to deal with BDR which is just as bad. But at the end of the day im going to use their climo data, it's official, it is what it is. I'm not going to change their numbers and just add an arbitrary amount to NYC or JFK or BDR or where ever. Also, its not that serious.
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7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:
and the lowest number in the entire county, it looks so off compared to the 3.5 at Howard Beach. I wish I remembered that storm better-- was it a snow changing to rain storm? Because 0.24 liquid equivalent and 1.6 inches of snow seems like a weird 8:1 ratio otherwise.
Started as rain/mix changed to snow. Bust here we were under a warning for 5-8
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Just now, LibertyBell said:
Thanks. Wow, I was suspicious about that 1.6 from Central Park too and looking at the surrounding reporting stations, it seems like 2.2 for JFK is more supported than 1.6. So now both Central Park and JFK are recorded as having 1.6 in that storm? I wonder what the reason for the change was?
Yeah weird 2.2 makes more sense but it is what it is
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1.6" is the correct number. 2.2 was their error in the pns. I just heard back from okx @LibertyBell
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Looking like a nice 1 to maybe 2" refresher tonight here if were lucky. Save the HRRR, every model pretty much clips us with an ~1". We're going C-1 for far S CT locally up to 2" right along the beaches.
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17 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:
It feels like JFK is weirdly low, there have been a few events this year where JFK had more snow than NYC. I also added up your numbers for JFK and they added up to 9.7
Good catch. i Just went back did some investigating. I didn't make an error. All my numbers do add up to 9.7". However it seems JFK changed their original report from the 1/19 storm from 2.2 to 1.6. That would decrease the amount from 9.7 to 9.1 which is what they officially have. I have no idea why they changed it for the official report after or it is an error. Also youll not that NYC recorded 1.6" for that event. I bet it was a book keeping error and they entered the NYC report of 1.6 for that 1/19 event instead of 2.2.
I think ill tweet them when i have some time and let them know. Either they changed it for some reason or its an error. The fact its exactly the same as the NYC report from that date is also suspicious. Leads me to believe its an error
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3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:
Hello.
STD?
For YTD I have 12.75 (4 for the last storm)
Thanks...
yea Year To Date kinda impies just this year, so i say STD...Season To Date. i get the double entendre -ha
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21 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:
Just seeing this for the first time and appreciate you doing this.
as of today in Highland Mills NY in eastern Orange County I'm at 28.3 inches YTD. Most of the Orange County observers that keep track are between 25-30 right now.
yea thats what i have except for the very high elevation areas that are like 1200-1500FT around Orange/Sussex counties
I just added yours
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@EastonSN+ u got a STD #?
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We take the trends on the GFS & GEM for sure
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And really high snowfall storms with low impacts due to timing, not much wind and just a fluff bomb are probably Feb 2006 and Jan 2011
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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:
I think you have to put in 1978 as well. The snow totals weren’t as epic across the state, but the societal impact was unprecedented in the 20th century among CT winter storms.
If we have a top 4 Mount Rushmore, I think October 2011 is fourth because of its rarity and societal impact.
i wouldnt disagree for impacts, but in terms of snow 78 doesnt even touch 2013.
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South shore Obs/Nowcast for Feb 11-12 light snow
in New England
Posted
1.0" North Haven. We refresh and pad the stats.