The 4 Seasons

Someone requested the EC Narcan earlier, zoomed out a bit

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Moonshine, is that you?

nah, Astronomyshine only posts +300HRS minimum, and make sure to include the 95 percentile

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You need to supplement it with something else IMO...like weatherbell or SV.

oh absolutely we have weatherbell and weathertap for radar. I would never use it alone but it has a lot of additional things i like, like the gridded chart of point data from the ECMWF. 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that model is all over. Jesus.

they don't make em like the used to

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

F5 must be the slowes of all sites to load the data, but it as some great graphics....I use it for regional stuff and Weatherbell for more national pattern/synopitc stuff.

thinking about getting it but just for the rest of the winter 

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just in case anyone ever has second thoughts about where the demon is.....let this set the record straight.

Damn i didnt know F5 had a simulated radar for the UKMET and going out to 156hrs+. Thought it was just SV, never seen you post UKMET stuff from there before. Do they have a lot of other panels like qpf and upper levels that go out that far?

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

No.   Uncle was a big hit for Pike region at 12z.   You're not comparing apples to apples.

It's still a massive shift south, what he said is still valid. Even though the time periods on the maps dont match, it is a big change at 00Z.

Here's the same time period.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Love cape cod

Beautiful place to visit 

MVY is awesome, its so cozy have family out there. been probably a dozen times. they got a killer christmas day miracle last year 5-10"

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Uncle 

perfection in terms of snowfall for SNE save the cape and islands but who cares about them

Just now, MJO812 said:

Give me my snow

No. You stay at 2.3 and like it.

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

0z gfs looked great!!

I think this is the first time in literally a decade i found a post from you i can agree on

16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I don’t think so. Good locked in airmass equates to less threading, more wiggle room. 

yea just lately it seems, i can recall many many storm prior to 2021 that had plenty of wiggle room

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

It’s a bit colder out through 168-a legitimate second 2/3 crusher.

can you post some pics from 144-168? I think it's that storm vista site that has those in precip panel maps..everything else seems to just go out to 144

Still a lot of spread on the GEFS. Lots of amped coastal huggers but also still a ton of strung out whiffs. Snowfall mean and probs went way up due to the increase of a few big members in there.

UKMET is coming N/faster, i think we have a good idea where the euro is gonna be heading at 12z

Thought i'd through this out there since i just finished it for some good juju

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Taking a glass half full approach, it wouldn’t take much to get that cooler down here. Not likely, but not impossible 

you don't say

I do agree it's gonna be tough down here in SSNE with no real cold air in place which ive mentioned before. Gonna need a pretty close to perfect soln and at D6 anythings still on the table. The ensembles being N leaning is what gives me the most pause despite the OP runs. Lot of hits for C/NNE and only a couple down here.

4 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said:

And it’s gone.

And it's 6 days out.

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

6-12" is a blizzard and 2-4" is hot....some beer goggles up in here lol

Was looking at H5 early on thats why i posed it as a question. Clown maps aside i think the trend/consistency has improved from 12-18-00 today. 970s SE of the BM is still a pretty intense system We got a long ways to go though

GFS comin in hot?

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just saying, when I hear someone say a blizzard, I'm thinking at least like 18".

havent seen 18 in over a decade, usually im thinking 10+ (double digits) but its really about the winds/vis but we won't get into those parameters/semantics here..i know what you mean

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm so hard up, I'd buy the ICON dinner for a blitz.

we're hard up when we're excited for an end of run Icon prog. Well see what the real globals..my hunch is zero increased confidence

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I just looked, it's not that big of a deal....like 6-12".

in this winter though...

I dont think this has much more higher ceiling anyway, maybe a little bit. But i think we'd all kill for a 6-12 event (for those who havent seen one since jan 2022 anyway)

Kinda warm near the coast but the Icon tends to do that but i'd take that track and intensity all day

Lack of any real cold airmass is gonna be a problem (near the coast) though even if we do a get a bomb like this