The 4 Seasons

good. really thinking our 12-20 verifies pretty well out east with 6-12 across a good chunk of ct, NW corner looks like itll be in the 3-6 range.

im really happy for you, seriously, you guys get porked 9/10 times even in great storms. how much?

Something is seriously wrong when Groton is getting smoked.

he was a winter weather enthusiast from SE MA Harwich that passed away when he was about 30 i think from covid last year.

OKX Radar. wish it would get out of damn Clear Air Mode

0.9" 1:05AM light snow.

which would still be about 20" for them, that would be one of the greats for BDL if that happened there

centimeters maybe

We snowing pretty good now. Moderate. 28F 0.8" at 12:30. Probably at 1" now.

It's not like half of tolland is going to get 6-12" and the other half will get 12-20". It doesnt work like that either. It's there to show a transition between ranges. The line also cuts through north haven and a lot of other towns in the NE. The line has to be somewhere and wouldn't look right if it followed town outlines. I just think its more noticeable because we have all the towns on the map itself. Snowfall maps rarely work out to be 100% perfect for every specific town, its there to show the general idea, which i think is about the same as our first call with a more SW to NE tilt.

Id like to change my units from inches to centimeters please.

get me a good CT/MA/RI base map and ill do it lol. We started with Connecticut but are expanding areas to include Tri-state NJ/CT/NY based on client needs. I'd definitely like to add a southern new england focused map next.

Final call. We kept our original forecast pretty much the same with amounts just tilted the axis of snowfall a bit to orient it more SW to NE. Tri-state area stayed very similar with the 12-20" range extending farther west across long island. CT: Tri-state: CT warnings:

At 12Z it was the #1 analog and at 00Z it was the #3 analog on the NAM runs and based on what i've seen with this storm and that it's pretty similar at multiple levels. I hate to say it and i know some on here will nail me to the cross for that but its hard not to see it. Not saying it plays out exactly like that but something similar wouldn't surprise me at all. East CT does great, even better than expected and a sharp cut off somewhere in central CT with low end warning snowfall gradient.

Goodnight all im just gonna leave this here..

same my brain hurts. between photoshop and models ive had enough for today.

Based on everything we've seen at 00Z it would be hard to believe it doesn't hold steady or tic west, but on the other hand its already so far west so i wouldnt be surprised either to see a small correction east similar to 12Z. Still got 6Z/12Z/18Z runs to get through after this.

Still an F winter?

Season to date snowfall. Hopefully this doubles or more in a couple days.

CT never loses.

Hamden, Connecticut. 40"

What in gods nam is happening..

Where were goin....we don't need boats...

Thank you. Yesterday was a wild ride and emotions we're high and low. We just didn't feel confident enough to throw out numbers but we did put out our own set of probability maps for >6 and >12 similar to the NWS. Props to those who pulled the trigger on bigger numbers yesterday. Still have a lot of runs to go so we all hope it holds/trends in the right direction, im sure a few NAM curve balls will be thrown in there the next 36, and will be ignored unless one of the more reliable models (EC) shifts as well.

Thats quite the bump in the qpf department past 3 runs. Banding is likely to offset that on the western edge given the mid-levels and track. Really wish we had omega and H7 frontogenesis on the euro or even better an ability to download files for BUFKIT, im sure they would be wild to see.