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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. Those are the best ones. ? They have 2-3 and 3-4 ranges though. If they wanted to do 2-4 for SNE they could do a wide area of 2-3 and 3-4. What Scott's saying is that 4-6 aint happening on that wide of scale like they are painting it to be.
  2. they went from the lowest to the highest (out of the 3 CWAs) in one shift change.
  3. Damn thats a lot of snow, we lost coverage on day 1! Some small piles left at the Stop & Shop. I took my sled to the very top of the 5 foot brown pile and sledded up and down for hours. People kept staring at me and i couldn't figure out why.
  4. @SnowGoose69 I'm really not either but tbh i have not been reading or following anything from him since i left WXBell. I used to watch his daily Weather Avenger videos or whatever the hell they were called. I used to trust him and really try to follow what he was saying but my opinion has since changed. He's really biased to snow/cold and has a business to run, i was pretty green back 4-5 years ago and couldn't see that.
  5. NWS thoughts ATM. Coordination seems better but now BOX is more bullish than OKX, wide area of 3-4, 4-6 for 95% of CT.
  6. I'm thinking a general 2-4 for CT, maybe less on the immediate coast SE CT. I started a threat thread.
  7. This is my first ever thread for a snow threat, so hopefully it's a good one. (I promise to never start another one if it busts, ha.) We are now about 36hrs from the start of the event and the December Disco thread has a lot to cover so thought it was a good idea to seperate it. Right now this looks to me as a general 2-4 or so over a wide area of SNE. I don't think there will be much of a difference from coast to inland with the exception of elevation. This is a marginal situation where we will have snow falling on wet roads and places that had temps in the 50s for the past 2 days...so i think there will be a higher impact and more snow covered roads at higher elevations in the interior. There's definitely quite the spread amongst models right now with the GEM/RGEM/UKMET the most bullish and NAM/GFS/ICON/EC on the other side. There's a lot of red flags and things that can go wrong with this one with dry air in the mid levels, delayed precip changeover, etc. I think it's important to keep expectations in check. If everything works out i think the absolute cap with this one is a stripe of 4-8" somewhere in interior CT/MA. I want to look into this a little closer and checkout BUFkit before i issue a map. First map will probably be later today and final call tomorrow. All in all we are looking at our second widespread SNE snow threat and it's only 12/9, so we're off to a good start. Discuss on...
  8. There's a lot to dicuss for December as a whole. Half the comments are about the Dec 11th threat, the other half about December. We should start a thread for this threat, no? Anyway here are the monthly stats through 12/8 NYC: -5.1 BDR: -4.5 BDL: -5.4 BOS: -4.9
  9. Cept for that sucker hole over Enfield LOL
  10. Tips not a hater, i feel he's pretty damn objective and provides sound reasoning for his posts/forecasts.
  11. It definitely has the least amount of snow. What's your reasoning for this? Just curious, not saying you're wrong...
  12. Surgeon General Warning: SREFs cause brain cancer, diluted thoughts, false hopes, euphoria and will decrease your forecast accuracy. Quitting SREFs greatly increases your weather forecasting ability in as little as 5 minutes. Pregnant Women, Women, Men and all human beings should not take SREFs daily. SREFs contain horribly outdated formulas and algorithims. Use SREFs responsibly.
  13. Just saw the UKMET 12Z, thats the wettest model by far, damn.
  14. Looked pretty similar to me at the surface as 12Z, maybe a little drier not much change.
  15. Don't you take away my digital snow. I average 100" per year on the GFS.
  16. It's usually wild 0-72hrs out. def tossed.
  17. Except for the NAM the entire 12Z suite cut back quite a bit for SNE. We await the Euro.
  18. bring back the ETA/NGM/AVN power-trio
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