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AWMT30

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Everything posted by AWMT30

  1. No thanks I will take ether 2-3" of sleet like the NAM says or 6-10" like the Euro says. Screw Ice
  2. I guess GRR Meteorologist wanted to be done with the day early this is a bland AFD. LATEST UPDATE... Discussion/Marine/Hydro .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Monday) Issued at 256 PM EST Mon Feb 14 2022 - Lake enhanced snow tapers off this evening Expect about another half inch to inch of snow this evening near Lake Michigan before subsidence associated with surface and upper ridging moves in and puts an end to the activity shortly after midnight. - Mid-week storm Attention continues to focus on forecast details indicated by ensemble trends for Wednesday-Thursday. The best bet at this point is to find a middle ground between the GFS and ECMWF precip totals, which currently would translate to rain amounts of 0.5 to 0.75 Wednesday followed by 6 to 10 inches of snow on Thursday. The GFS mean is closer to 10 inches, while the ECMWF is around 6 inches, with the higher amounts displaced further south than the GFS, although the 12Z ECMWF has trended a bit closer to the GFS. There is also a signal for some icing during the transition from rain to snow Wednesday night, but details on this are inherently even lower confidence than snow totals. In summary, the potential for snowfall greater than 5 inches across much of the forecast area between Wednesday night and Thursday evening may be increasing.
  3. Yeah liking Chicago to Detroit for Sig Impacts.
  4. Absolutely got whiffed yesterday as well IMBY. Quite depressed about it seeing as Livonia got smoked. Literally there was a snow hole over my house on radar yesterday. Only got a dusting. Very impressive set up for those that got snow.
  5. I totally remember that one. Was suppose to get 2-5" followed by freezing rain. Ended up with 11" of snow and zero freezing rain as it was south of 94.
  6. Euro still pretty good for the Detroit Metro!
  7. I had no idea that's why he left.. Such a shame he was pretty darn good.
  8. Full truth Rexy is the only good Chief we got here in the Detroit Market the rest are not so great..
  9. Unreal what these models are putting out.
  10. They were going with 12-15" I remember making a map for that one.
  11. Euro Ens are SE with the 2nd wave
  12. The GFS will not budge nor will it's ENS crazy battle.
  13. Going to be a crazy forecast going forward, you want to give the lean to the GFS but can not discount the Euro.
  14. GFS said enough with the shifts south
  15. Detroit crushed one can dream!
  16. Euro rolls at 1245 am/pm CMC rolls around 1130am/pm Ukie Rolls around 1145am/pm other than that you are correct on the model times for the GFS and NAM
  17. Will be very interested for the 00z runs tonight especially for Lower Michigan. You would hope the NWS offices here do the right thing tomorrow if trends stay like they are.
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