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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Don’t have a ton of time (ever anymore it seems), but I agree with Jax………. We really need the Rex like block over the Aleutians to be less “rexy”. Will be like pulling teeth to keep the bulk of cold from going west with that look. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Welcome. Glad you found us…. Stay warm this weekend! No golf for me until it warms up. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Honestly, the early week system is the one I think has the best wintry chances for parts of east/northeast TN. Not likely to be heavy, but I think the temperature profile should be a lot better. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
40 here in Erwin. Fully expect the warm nose to keep Tri mostly rain, but willing to accept being wrong. Think SW VA and parts of eastern KY do well with this little system. -
Yes I did. We did hit whiteout a couple of times, just didn’t get a good picture of it.
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Can honestly say this has been an almost all day light to moderate snow event here in Erwin. At times, really steady across parts of town.
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About 1/2 inch here in downtown Erwin. It's melting from below, but when you get under one of these it's pretty fun. Snowglobe on steroids.
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I caught a piece of that into the office this morning. Nothing at the house, but about a mile east of the house it was ripping. Nice to put you in the "snow" mood. I was never impressed with the first part of this event, but really interested to see if the energy pulling through this evening can give a few "streak" surprises.
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That I don’t remember. I seem to recall one person was in control of everything. That alone was likely enough to be a big problem, just waiting for a time to present itself.
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It was called easternwx. I remember that day........... sad to lose everything that was put there.
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Erwin has had a bare ground since 10 this morning. We are in the mid 30's downtown, while areas just to our northwest in and around Johnson City appear to be holding around 31/32
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The last expansion of precip on radar is occurring over the next hour or so.
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Dusting in Erwin, around a half inch in north Johnson City when I left the house about 30 minutes ago, but we knew part one was going to be problematic. Congrats to those overperforming! Holding out hope tonight can catch the upslope areas up to the other areas. I'm guessing we wake up to a prettier picture tomorrow than we did today and probably more road problems due to much colder temps.
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I guess all we can do is hope a small fraction of that can translate downstream.
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The timing is more important than anything else. Because of the cold, why not focus mainly on that. An early morning start for east and northeast TN will have an impact on travel and schools. That, more than amounts should be the concern. Focus on timing. It will be cold enough for problems, that much we know.

