rclab

3 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Ooh good reminder, gotta turn the water off to the spigot too. My lettuce and tomatoes are probably goners  

9:50 am after reading all the wonderful observation post, I heard a gentle whispering in my ear: “ there is nothing sadder than an old man gazing  out a barred, ground floor, back yard window, straining to see one snow flake”. I whispered back to my lost love “ you’ve been up there almost three years, please, use your influence and do something”. I felt a gentle caress on my somewhat damp cheek as the rain continued. As always ....

12 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

You old guys gotta be careful with that stumbling  

 

No offense to Forky but in that neighborhood I was actually trying to avoid a big bird sighting. Your right about stumbling, between 10pm and 6am, in a dark apartment, I feel like Gunga Din on multi water calls. As always .....

23 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Major levee breach event ongoing in the front yard, seek higher ground

Julian, I haven’t seen that much grass, wet or dry, since I mistakenly stumbled into Prospect Park. As always .....

48 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

My guess would’ve been Ant’s house in Brooklyn. 

That what he gets for proposing NYC UHI effect be part of the next climate change agreement. As always .....

1 hour ago, Hitman said:

I worked on court street for 15 years.  Well acquainted with cobble hill.  Not a great setup for snow.  And there is nothing worse than stepping into a slush puddle.

photos didn’t do the bird justice.  

1 hour ago, Hitman said:

I worked on court street for 15 years.  Well acquainted with cobble hill.  Not a great setup for snow.  And there is nothing worse than stepping into a slush puddle.

photos didn’t do the bird justice.  

I’ve lived in the neighborhood for 47 years. A consistent cold season snow cover is the very rare ( almost never ) exception to the rule. The slush puddles, enhanced by a generous contribution of City rock salt, have a freeze/thaw life of their own. I agree, no photo can compare to seeing such a magnificent creature in the wild. As always ......

15 minutes ago, Hitman said:

Ill take anything I get as a bonus. 

The  bald Eagle photos were magnificent. Before my postage stamp gets a coating you will probably have already shoveled several times. As far as street side in my south Brooklun neighborhood, I’m not worried. The city will provide faux snow by salting with abandon. As always .....

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Did someone just post War and Peace?

Actually, the sequel will be posted in the New York Metro forum and reviewed by Anthony and S19 during the cold season. As always ....

3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

ALL ABOARD 

Nice to see a situation/area where a mask is not mandatory. As always ....

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

yeah 20 years later us "crazy" people will end up being right.  There should be a national transport system for everything.

I know its dreamlike and perhaps Quixotic, but can you imagine being able to capture some of the tremendous, storm driven, rain totals and being able to transport them to where they would do the most good. As always ......

7 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Winter is coming!

By the time NYC gets its first real accumulating snowfall the DS should have had a lot of well salted streets to have practiced on. As always ....

On 10/17/2020 at 9:13 PM, forkyfork said:

so many people don't seem to know what happens to pumpkins within hours of putting them outside 

Tell that to Ichabod Crane. As always .......

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Another beautiful clear morning in the Wey. Pants off.

Now I know why we were getting so much fog. As always ....

54 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

For those watching the progress of the cold and snow in the Northern Rockies, Great Falls, MT set daily records for the minimum temperature and snowfall yesterday. Yesterday’s low temperature was 3 degrees (old record” 10 degrees, 1957). Daily snowfall was 4.0” (old record: 2.8”, 1954).

I would imagine, Don, that it is in the realm of possibility, that the one 3rd week in  October MT temperature and snowfall totals could outdo CPK for the coming cold season. It. nearly outdid the last entire cold season. I may go to the roof and start sprinkling holy water in the direction of the south east ridge. As always .....

41 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

https://www.mlssoccer.com/post/2020/10/23/influential-soccer-podcaster-daryl-grove-passes-away-after-cancer-battle

RIP Daryl Grove. I don’t know if anyone else here is a member of the soccer community.  Daryl hosted imo the best soccer show (Total Soccer Show) for the last 11 years. He was a constant advocate and friend of anyone involved in the sport.  He was a great ambassador for the game. More then that he was a wonderful person. Always positive. Always friendly.  Willing to help whenever possible. Once he got a bad review by someone saying the show was “soft” and he joked that it was a compliment because the world needs more softness.  Even though I didn’t know him well personally I heard his voice almost everyday for 11 years and he made everyone feel like family.  He responded to every message. He was welcoming at fundraising events. It really hurts.  I’m sure others who met him at events and listened feel the same way but a piece of my life is gone. I wish I knew what to say but I don’t. I just wish I didn’t have to say anything at all.   The world is just a little less today with him not in it.  

Words to describe loss and a sense of feeling often fall short. Yours didn’t. As always ....

12 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

Last night on Chincoteague for a much needed mental health break. Rented a house on the Bay on the Northern end of the island. Have enjoyed some nice warm weather. Some beautiful sunsets and skies on fire. Finished off the week with a brought in shellfish feast of which there was nothing left. 
 

Lovely photo scene, Mrs J....what dreams are made of. And thank you for “not” showing that delicious dish before eating. Not sure I could have made it through the viewing. As always ....

4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The storm responsible for heavy snow in the Northern Rockies tonight and tomorrow will bring a near-record to record cold air mass into the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains. Numerous single-digit low temperatures will be likely on Sunday morning in parts of Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming. A few locations could even experience subzero low temperatures. The cold will then expand into the Central Plains for Monday and Tuesday. However, much of this cold air will likely remain confined west of the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions until the closing days of this month.

A brief but fairly sharp shot of cooler air could arrive during the weekend in the Northeast. During the closing days of the the month, some of the cold air from out West will spill into the region. November could commence on a cool note.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.4°C for the week centered around October 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.10°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least into mid-winter.

The SOI was +9.22.

Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.021.

On October 22 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 2.543 (RMM). The October 21-adjusted amplitude was 2.469.

Since 1950, there have been five cases where a La Niña developed during June-July-August or afterward following an El Niño winter. 4/5 (80%) of those cases saw a predominant EPO+/AO+ winter pattern. The most recent such case was 2016-17. 9/10 (90%) of the La Niña winters that followed an El Niño winter featured a predominantly positive EPO.

From that larger pool of 10 La Niña winters that followed El Niño winters, there were four cases where October saw the MJO in Phases 4-6 for 20 days or more, as was the case this year: 1983-84, 1988-89, 1998-99, and 2016-17. All four cases featured an EPO+/AO+ winter.

Both 1988-89 and 1998-99 saw the MJO in Phase 5 with an amplitude of 2.000 or above as has occurred this year.  Both those winters featured below to much below normal snowfall in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. Select snowfall seasonal snowfall totals were:

1988-89:
Boston: 15.5"
New York City: 8.1"
Philadelphia: 11.2"

1998-99:
Boston: 36.4"
New York City: 12.7"
Philadelphia: 12.5"

This is not cast in stone. However, this is a plausible scenario should things evolve toward an EPO+/AO+ winter as is suggested on some of the current seasonal guidance.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October. October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.5°.

 

Amazing Don, those 3rd week in October single digit lows may be lower than the lowest CPK reading for our entire cold season. Serves us right for having an affair with a warm ocean. As always ....

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Even at my age we don’t mind thinking about getting wet sometime. As always....

20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

we need a largescale dehumidifier to get rid of this crap and transport it to where wildfires are occurring.

transport that excess rain in the southeast to the wildfire regions! we need a massive transfer of moisture, humanity needs to start geoengineering 

Careful, LB, the companies that would supply the energy for such an undertaking just got a woody. As always ....

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Moisture fetish. 

The October thread just got an M rating. As always ....

41 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

This winter is going to give us stomach ulcers.  I can see it already. Just give me a white Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas and I will be fine.  

I wouldn’t mind waking up young, tall and handsome, odds are against reversing reality. I do hope your wish comes true, although I might substitute Valentines Day for Halloween. As always .....

27 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:

Lol. If this is what 2020 is like imagine a couple decades from now. Looking forward to Major Hurricane Upsilon’s landfall in the NeoAzores autonomous zone on Trumptember 12th, 2039.  

Considering how many of the islands are sinking and the continued rise in sea level, a couple of decades from now, Trumptembers Upsilon  may have much less land to fall on. As always....

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Like I  said .. I know there’s a small percentage of weed smokers here that like to get high. That’s perfectly fine. Again , like I said. I’ve never smoked anything.. cigs, cigars. Weed.. nothing. Just my own personal belief system. By all means man.. inhale and get high!

The beautiful photos posted by members in this forum and others are enough to elevate me. Now if the fresh air and scents could be delivered with the photos, all other stimulants would pale for me. As always ....

3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

In my utopian society, they would. It would be just like dunkin donuts...I’d even have a drive thru for the ultimate quickie. 

Thanks RUNNAWAY, now I’ll be fantasizing about silver hair, powdered, beautifully aged service munchkins in your utopian society. As always ....

14 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Let’s strip the stigma and tax away.
 

 

 

 

(Pun intended)

I’m willing to pay my share as long as their are older age providers and senior discounts. As always .....

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm no religious person...but that would be a tougher sell. I'm not into that, so tax away I guess..lol. 

Under strict gov/state/city control to protect the providers, maybe. Privacy issues, medical/maintenance issues and one hell of an interesting civil service entry exam. Probably not likely to happen. As always ....