Hey @Bubbler86 check out the GFS vs Euro/NAM/Canadian/MS Paint models for Dallas tomorrow and look how much warmer GFS is compared to every other guidance.
It's wild.
The NAM is used to that feeling.
That GFS run seems like a fairly likely scenario but I’d expect a sleet storm more than straight rain in Dallas given that setup.
Fair enough - I've not looked closely at the thermals. I just always expect (and know from growing up there) a warm nose seems to always take over Tyler to Longview.
DFW looks prime for a really nice snow - one larger than most have seen in a good while. ZR will be an issue from Canton on down I think. Per usual in ET ...
Dallas looks to get a potential record snowfall Thursday. Someone around the metroplex might see a freaking foot of snow. Good thing the Cotton Bowl is Friday and not Thursday.
It's called meteorology, not modelology, for a reason. Models are a tool for guidance, not to cherry pick and use verbatim. It's why I suck at understanding some storm dynamics.