canderson

Junk. So much for a really great setup.

We posted the same thing at the exact same time lol

The last of that like north of the turnpike just east of Shipp lost some of its mojo. It was warned earlier but looks like the instability might have weakened with the training earlier.

That line moving across the border at Hagerstown could spin up. Heads up to all the border gang.

we are about to see how unstable the atmosphere is after the training we had all am.

They’ve been calm here - unless you mean like 6 or so a.m. and I didn’t wake up but winds from the south hit the brick front so I could’ve slept through those.

Hey @MAG5035 what prevented the synoptic winds from mixing down this morning? It’s barely been 10 mph winds all morning but the atmosphere is absolutely cranking. We’ll get wild winds soon but we struck out entirely on the first part of that 5hrrad and I can’t see a specific reason.

T-storm warnings out for Clearfield, Somersset ad Cambria, winds up tp 60agd small hail. Watch that line race across the state.

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 119 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020 TORNADO WATCH 119 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-009-011-013-017-021-025-027-029-035-037-041-043-045-055- 057-061-067-071-075-077-079-081-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101- 107-109-111-113-119-133-132200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0119.200413T1530Z-200413T2200Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS BLAIR BUCKS CAMBRIA CARBON CENTRE CHESTER CLINTON COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN DELAWARE FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE LYCOMING MIFFLIN MONROE MONTGOMERY MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY PHILADELPHIA SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN UNION YORK $$

Oddly enough the LSV and then SE in PA prob does better than DC and most of Maryland today. Odd, isn’t it?

Tornado watch likely coming soon, per SPC.

Probably won’t have a ton of impact if we clear fur an hour after this line moves through ahead if the front. 1-3 pm is the key time for the LSV.

Yup, lots o rain.

Right on time, winds starting o crank up. Never did get any storm to fire overnight.

The NAM makes no sense imo given this setup, esp DC south.

Sister in East Texas saw 2 water spouts on her late about 20 mins ago, wicked wind.

If you’re interested in tornados go to the SE forum, page 18, and check out the radar images. Textbook. I think I’ve posted this but my house growing up was hit by two. I have the best luck (this explains my wind ficus).

I’m not sure of a storm like that could survive the extreme upslope shear, there is a theory in Texas that long-track tornados can’t survive the hill county due to rapid elevation gains. Would love a met write up - or straight scientific report.

Had to look that one up. What a crazy setup THAT was. Truly once-in-a-lifetime stuff. I don’t think we see tornados tomorrow but I’m very concerned about straight-line winds mixing down above 70 mph.

If you see sun tomorrow for more than a few minutes before noon, pray if you’re religious.

Monroe got hammered.

Agreed. It’s actually the opposite of East Texas, give me sky high CAPE and you’re off to the races. Environmental factors mage a huge, huge difference.

We tend to almost always strike out with CAPE and shear here, so we’ll see what transpires.

Kinda a combo. Squall line is def an issue but the S and E areas can easily have storms fire ahead of it given parameters. This setup is a very common one in Texas and the SE - it’s pretty rare to get it up here.