CTP has underdone wind by 15 mph all day (they still say gust to 25 as it’s constantly 35-40). So tomorrow and Thursday when they have winds in the mid 30s it’ll actually be close to 50. Cool
This makes sense. This is similar to the Valentine’s Day 2007 set up here than gave us some snow and about 5” sleet and tipped with ZR. Much less precip than then but it’s going to be a block of ice come Friday early am for many in DFW I think.
Hm maybe I looked wrong (was on my phone so possible!). It looked like there's a shot of cold air showing up on other models the GFS doesn't bring down.
Regardless, Thursday is going to be a bad day in North Texas.
Hey @Bubbler86 check out the GFS vs Euro/NAM/Canadian/MS Paint models for Dallas tomorrow and look how much warmer GFS is compared to every other guidance.
It's wild.
The NAM is used to that feeling.
That GFS run seems like a fairly likely scenario but I’d expect a sleet storm more than straight rain in Dallas given that setup.