dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Keith Carson has 70/30 OTS.
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18z Euro looked better
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Yea, GFS is no good at coastal systems never mind trying to figure out a Miller A no less, But it needs more time.
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Plus it looks like someone fired #00 buckshot out of a shotgun @H5 with 5-6 spurious pieces moving around in the flow which the models cant resolve to phase with.
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I was messing with Ray but i was giving it until tomorrow and probably 12z Thurs.
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I hope they have to shut down BDL for the month of march for you then.
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Next.
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We won't cancel because it whiffs.
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-Nao and raw ENE winds with sheet drizzle.
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Every one had one on the 2nd..................
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12z EPS a little more west the then 06z run, Not a surprise though after the OP came out.
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I think the "bee" word that most were looking for had a couple zz's in it..........
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A few of the models seem to have that low out ahead of the southern one, That's some of the multiple pieces in the flow I think that's skewing the main low coming west.
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That norther stream s/w was digging pretty far south this run.
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Yeah looks better, Should be west of the 0z run.
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Also lessens the western extent that this can probably get too.
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Exactly, Fast flow but that does not mean we can't end up with something that becomes more favorable for some on this forum, Just need to let it play out and see where it goes over the next couple days, lot of moving parts that need to come together.
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How modeling has been i certainly wouldn't toss anything out still being 90+ hrs away from the start of this event, We've had changes right up to 18-36 hrs out all winter on these storms so far, Grant most have been for the worst but at some point you have to get one to break the right way.
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And emotions are certainly running high in here this morning, Ha ha, I would take what the Ukie is selling and run to the bank with it.
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Why would anyone even think about tossing in the towel when nothing has come onshore yet out west?
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12z GFS looks a little flat, Think this will end up east of 06z.
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Well its not going to matter who wants it east or who wants it west, Its going to go where the upper air pattern wants to take it and the phasing or non phasing of both the north and southern jet stream with these s/w's, I think were still a good day away from determining any of that so your stuck with a bevy of solutions until models figure out the placement of the trough and how these s/w's end up interacting with ea other which will ultimately give you where the SLP is going to track in the end.
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Not really.
