Looks ok up here looking at a sounding, Was no warm layers weds night, Might be the only snow this week but i would sacrifice it for a bigger slower system on the 22nd
There's three different systems that you guys are referring to here on the 06z Euro, Mondays is squashed south of the region, The rain showers region wide Tuesday and potential snow on Thurs CNE/NNE.
Higher heights over the chimney and a trough digging further south with that northern stream vort will allow more ridging out ahead is what we need to see going forward.
Heights are higher over the the west, Northern stream digging further south, Trough goes negative a bit sooner to and nice tug back NW a bit late but looks good CNE/NNE, Closed contour over NY at H5.