Exactly what you don't do, You look at all 31, You look at the mean, That will tell by where that's tracking and possibly heading and there are several that are tracking further NW.
Another tick or two on the Euro and you will have the track, Thinking 60/40 Euro/GFS blend right now, Starting to see where the convergence on track will be, Will start earlier then modeled too, Typical SWFE favored climo.