dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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I won't touch this although i could. -
Just took a look at everything from 0z euro to all of the 06z runs, Nothing to dislike really, Especially if it continues on 12z with no regression which i feel we will see the west tics continue even up to go time.
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Wasn't just him either, Hope we will not have this every time there is a threat, One model in a pkg comes out and they lose there sh it.
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That should drop you off the tobin in a lead weighted straight jacket.
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That low track on the models proves my point to PF yesterday, Would like to see more ridging out ahead of this but today's POS is compressing the flow some aloft and squeezing the track ENE a bit as it gains lat as well as the low being further offshore in the Carolinas before it tracks NNE, Still plenty of time, Subtle changes, Makes some big differences with the eventual outcome.
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I'm hoping he does too, But for other reasons.
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We tried to tell them.
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At the very least.
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Tough crowd for being 50+ hrs out
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Still a slight improvement.
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Especially after it went 300 miles west just the other day in one run.lol
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Little more then small, But that's what i was looking for, We are still out in time so keep getting these.
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0z GFS is a couple tics west of the 18z run.
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Yes he would've, They use to crush on some of these.
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This is the time frame on the GFS upgrade where it saw some improvement and outscores the Euro, I guess we shall see.
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Seeing most of it was used up on the Nam, Agree
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Those European are ahead of us time wise. ha ha
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So, Do you wipe first with the RGEM or the Nam?
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Well, It still comes down to the time frame your trying to hone in on, Obviously, A shorter lead will give you the most options, But by then, You should be into just the short range models so where do you draw the line?
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You should use everything that is available and weigh them, Toss the outliers, And blend the rest by percentages to try to come out with a reasonable outcome.
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Best to wait on some of the other models in the 0z suite before passing judgement, And i won't until at least 12z tomorrow.
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In general, I don't think any one model has performed very well inside 72 hrs on any event.
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Some really need to stop posting, There mouth is out running their brain like that convective blob out ahead of the surface low.
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I'm looking around trying to find my weenie tags, Looks like we will need several.
