dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Keep hoping. -
There's a few more members SE of the mean on the 06z EPS from 0z, But once again, The off hour runs have been different for quite some time, I would wait to see 12z.
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I love extreme weather, As long as its white...........
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Going to need this to come 100mi or so more west for anything more then a high end nor'easter
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Getting inside the cone albeit far west at the moment, Still on a WNW track as well. 5:00 PM AST Mon Sep 11 Location: 23.6°N 64.2°W Moving: WNW at 7 mph Min pressure: 948 mb Max sustained: 115 mph
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Some Haf not's in there too.
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I was just looking at this and did a comparison with 12z, That a slight west track on the 18z mean and a few members more on the western envelope.
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Pretty much.
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Going to get a bit windy and wet verbatim for eastern areas.
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No LF in the US this run, But its crawling along towards in the Bay of Fundy.
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12z GFS Looks about the same to me as 06z, Just 3mb weaker.
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Lee is down to 948MB from 950mb as of the previous advisory, So its strengthening some from earlier.
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Agree, TS storm winds would have a greater impact as mentioned, Saturated ground with leaf trees, Would have a greater power outage impact.
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It would be tracking slower over colder waters so as it expands, Its probably going to start losing its tropical characteristics and may be a Cat 1 or a TS on arrival if it LF here in the NE.
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I would have, It went from 0z to 12z on the 0z EPS, Can't get the 06z panel like the 06z run
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Busy the last few days so have not been in here but the last 7 pages or so was entertaining with all the wild mood swings, Just getting caught up, 06z EPS looks like its come west a bit from the 0z run, A lot less east outliers at 06z.
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Love the roller coaster post on Lee.
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Lee looks like shit.
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Just had a watch hoisted up here.
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Actually, You want rain on it after its been paved, It helps cure it.
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Going to need to see more members on the western side as well as some inland tracks to move the needle here at some point for a higher probability chance..
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12z GFS is an outlier, Its going to be similar to the 06z GEFS run even a tick or two east in regards to track.
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12z GEFS laughs at the 12z GFS.
