Ha just stumbled on to his thread for the 23rd, Surprised by who started it, QPF distribution is quite thin, Ribbon thin but if you end up in that sliver, Its going to rock.
It intensifies once it gets up here dropping 10mb in 12hrs once its in the GOM but it look to be colder at the surface and aloft ahead of it getting here too.
25th is probably the best shot for you guys down there, I'm hopefully going to be heading north next weekend so those areas are going to cash in the next 2, So it really doesn't matter much for me down here other then patting the stats.