The finer details will still need to be worked out if we even have a similar scenario going forward, The main thing now i think is we need to see more consistency from the OP models going forward to assume this is not another head fake.
I would assume the GEFS to be better, But if you looked at what was posted earlier this morning with the ensembles, There's been a steady trend back north and west with a lot of members.
Well, Its still phased, So we can check that box, Confluence was a bit stronger so we will need to see that lift a bit earlier, But i don't think any of these are killer to the threat.