dryslot

Started out that way, SLP was into NJ.

I think the 12z GS is going to be west of the 06z run.

That been where i have been over the last couple days, The problem lies north of here, Its great to have when you have a hugger so it doesn't go up the Hudson, But in this scenario it flattens the flow over us and shunts this ENE, Maybe its right, Maybe its wrong, Right now if i was a betting man, I think eastern areas have a shot, I Don't feel as good here, I'll stay on until 0z Saturday but we really need to see some hits on the ensembles with some of these lows actually tracking over land up here or adding members to the western cluster.

Just get something else to go towards it, I'm sure you know what.

Ends up a tic or so west as it gains lat.

What a mess.

The other team is on a heater.

I'll go until Saturday 0z.

Yes, We should be all snow for this one, Thermals look good.

Yup, Awesome, Another negative.

Yes Don, I usually give it a drive by, Ha Ha

Eh, Its the Nam at 84hrs, I won't extrapolate it, Heights appeared lower to me.

0z ICON is warning snows here and i feel dirty even saying it.

Confluence to the NE of Maine and lower heights out ahead is a no bueno.

If only the storms would happen in the mid term it would be spot on, But alas.

Even short term models failed.

This was just an odd evolution for this, It was dying on arrival and just a thin ribbon too.

Looks like it was a colossal fail on all guidance though, I mean, What model had it close to right?

I think i've seen better streamers off the lakes this winter that produced, That radar looks like shit.

Nope, Going to need more then just a one run showing, And i don't care how many days out we are, When things go right you see some direct hits with models and you have some east, And when its all said and done you get them moving to a consensus in the middle but we have had none of that.

You would have to believe we can at least cash on one this winter, Its been a run of bad luck that has to end at some point.

Yes, And the end game has been a COC tease then ended east where it started.

About how i feel about it, But get more members to west too, There is a good cluster heading there but we can't have more regression ea run.

This one fizzled worse then a pin hole in a balloon.

Just looked at the 18z EPS and i have to say, I can't dislike this but we can't just keep flip flopping east then back west from run to run going forward, We need to see 0z start a trend back west some and continue it.