Jump to content

Stormlover74

Members
  • Posts

    22,551
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Gfs now has light showers Sunday morning because of course
  2. Still only at .14. Somehow just missed them again
  3. Had a couple really loud strikes
  4. Decent activity moving into western nj
  5. Somehow ewr has missed out on every heavy rainfall event this month. Only 2.5"
  6. Storms seem to be holding together although below severe limits. Let's see if they make it to the coast
  7. First weekend of June looking sunny with comfortable temperatures and low humidity. Our first dry weekend since February?
  8. One lone warned cell in western MD
  9. Just a quick downpour from that cell. No thunder
  10. This should taper off within the hour. Nothing to the sw of philly at the moment that would impact us later but still time for néw activity to fire
  11. Yeah there's no secondary line now. It goes north of the area. We'll see
  12. Biggest storms look to be Se and nw of us Wonder if we get some sun between 4 and 6
  13. Looks to be setting up that way but there are also some storms along the coast
  14. This first batch just looks like garden variety stuff with some downpours. Guess we'll see if the 2nd round contains severe cells
  15. Mesoscale Discussion 1013 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1053 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...northern VA into parts of MD...DE...central/western PA...NJ...and NY Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...One or more watches will likely be needed in the next 1-2 hours. Damaging gusts, large hail and a couple of tornadoes are possible with bands of thunderstorms through early evening. DISCUSSION...Modest destabilization is occurring from south to north ahead of an eastward-advancing front at midday. Stronger instability will generally remain across the PA/NJ vicinity southward, where dewpoints are in the upper 60s F, and decrease with northward extent into central NY. Nevertheless, favorable vertical shear supporting organized bands of convection is already in place across the region. A mixed mode of supercells and bows is expected as convection increases in coverage after 18z. While deep-layer flow will largely remain unidirectional, some curvature of low-level hodographs and backed low-level winds is evident in a corridor from eastern VA into eastern PA/western NJ. A couple of tornadoes could occur in this area. Otherwise, damaging gusts and hail will be the primary hazard through this afternoon/early evening. One or more watches will likely be needed in the next couple of hours as stronger destabilization occurs and stronger large-scale ascent overspreads the region.
  16. Radar's lighting up to the southwest
  17. Pretty much area wide but I'm sure a few places will miss out
  18. Let's see how accurate this is
  19. Hrrr has one round beginning after 2, then a 2nd round after 7
  20. Big storms over delaware basically stationary
×
×
  • Create New...