Stormlover74

Foliage mostly consists of green, brown or bare trees at this point

1st readings below 35, freezing, and likely 25 all in one day

3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

There are plenty at my house, you can have them if you want them.

LOL thats ok

One thing I also noticed is usually by late October ladybugs start making their way into the house seeking warmth but I haven't seen one this year

45 minutes ago, Paragon said:

I think the closest thing to that I've experienced was 1993-94.  If I remember right, JFK got about 45 inches of snow while LGA got 65 inches, not sure what White Plains got though.

 

I was in state college that winter. We had 108". Snow on the ground for over 3 months straight and at least one storm a week. 

26 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I meant last night. Was pretty wild. Very good thunder and lightning. Loudest thunder since i moved to Commack in March 2015. nearly 4" of rain and howling winds. 

It's kinda crazy that was all going on and 30 to 40 miles away it had cleared out by 4:00

I hope she doesn’t mean what think she means 

2 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

Wtf?

Anyone catch any meteors? I was out around 1 but had no luck

43 minutes ago, mophstymeo01 said:

I miss autumn.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

R.I.P. Fall 2017 9/6-9/11

57 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

I wouldn't trust these models past 3 days! 

Dude it's going to be warm

Its amazing how the gfs keeps showing basically the same thing. Turning toward NC stalling just offshore and making a beeline to the east northeast

14 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

Before anyone gets too excited or too high on their throne for thinking Maria is going to effect the ECONUS, it should be noted that the King (Euro) is still much further east. Maria is also likely to be a shell of her former self by the time any potential US impact were to occur as she will be moving over cooler waters in the wake of Jose, in addition to an increase in shear.

Could still end up a decent rainmaker even without a direct hit

I'd rather 90s than this muggy high dewpoint crap

6 minutes ago, Derecho! said:

So the GFS has shifted West quite a bit, approaching Outer Banks at 210 hours. 

Somehow it manages to not make landfall despite being within 50 miles of the NC coast and turning almost due east

4 hours ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Hurricane Irma: Euro track looks identical to the MAM track up to Cape Hatteras. I think Cape Cod and especially Cape Hatteras should be on the look out with Hurricane Irma.

The Euro does not show a track near Cape Hatteras

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

I don't see any indication of more 90s going into early September. It took a lot of effort for us to hit our last 90F and climo says it becomes very tough after 1st week of September.

Perhaps, but I can recall many years when we thought summer was over and the heat came roaring back. 

Shouldn't new Brunswick also be 3?

Craig Allen

Quick Sunday afternoon update for now- WCBS Newsradio 880
PIX 11  With a little more urgency!

On this quiet, unseasonably cold Sunday, here's where we stand with the Monday night-Wednesday winter storm threat.
Like yesterday, I'll keep it simple and not-too-meteorological, lol...for now. 

All the weather maps- and I mean every one of them, from operational to ensembles to experimentals- still shows a major impact snowstorm developing Monday night and lasting through Tuesday night with lingering snow on Wednesday. It has the makings of a full fledged nor’easter by the book (Glossary of Meteorology). This storm will require several ingredients to get together at the perfect time. The cold air is already in place. Gulf moisture and Pacific energy diving into the US will meet up. In the world of meteorology, it’s like threading a needle, but when it does happen, that’s how you get memorable east coast storms. There will be all kinds of extra data pouring into these models over the next 2 days. Reconnaissance flights will be added as well.
.
The devil remains in the details but odds favor a huge snowstorm with blizzard conditions possible. All those pieces have to get together at just the right time. We’re nearly 100% certain these systems will form into one big one along the mid Atlantic coast but the track from there will be very critical. If it then takes a perfect path of 75-100 miles off L.I., then we'll be dealing with the biggest snowfall of the season. Perhaps a foot or two with gale force winds and blowing and drifting snow. The region would grind to a halt for a day or two. Most models are showing this track.

However, a few other models are indicating subtle differences. The NAM was the outlier yesterday being closest to the coast and therefore with the most influx of warmer ocean air so the snow would change to rain for several hours and knock back the accumulations substantially, especially east of the I-95 corridor for all coastal areas, especially the NJ shore and south shore/east end of L.I. The NAM is falling more in line with others in keeping the Low a little farther offshore and has brought the big snows as far south & east as NYC & western L.I. It still shows a period of mixing or changing farther south & east.
I just looked at the new Canadian GGEM and after showing blockbuster snow totals last night, it has now backed more towards the coast and reduiced the snow depths across southern NJ and eastern L.I. 
The UK is a big snow hit as well. In fact, all models show the storm 'bombing out' once offshore. That rapid intensification could lead to snowfall rates of 2-4 inches per hour, white outs and possible thundersnow.

There is very little chance that the track could be farther out to sea. The euro burped yesterday aftyernoon but has now come back in line. Very odd for the euro to do that.

For now, just be know you will need to change plans for the first few days of this upcoming week. Absolutely consider alternatives. Airports could close. Schools definitely will under this scenario.  Whether it's all snow or a mix, this has the potential to be a high impact event. Where was this when you normally expect this, a month ago. I've gotten to used to the delightful spring-like weather this winter presented more often that not.

1 minute ago, nycwinter said:

even dt is discounting this latest euro run...

It shouldn't be discounted, just taken with a grain of salt

New Euro add: "The latest euro run is much farther east and cuts snow totals by more than half. Is that your final answer? Of course not! And that is why you don't post snowfall maps of totals 3+ days in advance !!!!
The internet is littered with them already. I have no problem showing you the model run numbers but it is just that...a computer's "thoughts" which can change run to run as new data is ingested."
Meteorologist Craig Allen/Craig Allen On-Air Inc

25 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

lee engages in to much comedy for my liking...

I think it's a requirement, too many people want a TV weather personality ala Lonnie Quinn

21 minutes ago, swamplover56 said:

Nick Gregory hands down guy has forgotten more NYC weather than most of us have

Craig Allen's on tv as well

2 minutes ago, jmcrae66 said:

Weenie bump & q:   Do these times all move back an hr on Sun?

Yep