Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Yes that year we had absolutely nothing to track all of January and February through mid march and not a flake accumulated. This winter could've easily been 3 or 4 moderate events and close to average but the Jan events all did worse than expected here
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Yesterday we threaded the needle and made it work for most. Nyc will need a bombing low well off the coast like jan 2018 with temps in the 20s to get a big event. These borderline events just don't work out there anymore
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Most forecasts I saw talked about a back loaded winter with a favorable mid Jan to mid Feb period. Not necessarily a 1 and done. But the reason I say luck is because things just haven't come to together even when our pattern was more favorable
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I agree but you sound like you thought we'd repeat those winters
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Sure but you just proved why we shouldn't expect an 82-83 repeat. That was the old climate
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No glee just happy most of us cashed in at least once. Even if cashing in means 1 plowable event
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But you can never expect a KU event just because 2 analog winters happened to have one. If the sample were larger and say 9 out of 10 strong ninos had one I'd say maybe
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Right which were lucky. This year the luck didn't go our way (so far).
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Many have done better than that winter which totally screwed the interior and new England. It's not just about nyc
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I've always said this winter could be similar. Only difference is we had a week of winter in January and the March storm came a month early
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I've made it to double digits even with all 3 Jan storms underperforming here
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Unless it's like 2010 where we flip and have a warm spring
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March will be warm and then April will probably suck
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Nyc snow hole aside it shows how hard it is to get 2 awful winters in a row. At least this one is just bad so far and I'd imagine places like Sussex and orange are at their seasonal average to date. Allentown is close
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Cmc even better
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Models hinting at something day 9-10
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Ukie has nothing north of the m/d line
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But 3 or 4 is probably the ceiling
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Rgem looks like a couple inches as well And icon
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Nam
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Well yeah its not a big storm. Inch or two maybe 3
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Looks like some snow showers about to move through from the west -
My understanding was the severe weather or lack thereof down south threw everything out of whack regarding placement of the low but I'm sure someone can explain it better
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The euro sniffed it out 10 days ago. For some reason they get worse inside 72 hours
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For nyc the models were fine once they reversed their northern trend on Sunday. In fact the eps and gfs were spot on 5 days ago at least with the axis of snow if not the amounts
