cheese007

DFW under a severe watch until 9am

SPC going with an enhanced risk for today, primarily a wind threat

Got a little bit of pea sized hail in far north Dallas with the second storm. 4th year in a row having seen hail in the spring. Collin County seems to have been slammed *again*

EDIT: Got a little more small hail with the line that came through

10% hatched Tornado risk for today in the TN valley area

EDIT: SPC posted a discussion about tonight's threat. That's a lot of CAPE right over DFW https://texasstormchasers.com/2019/03/spc-mesoscale-discussion-for-big-country-w-n-tx-severe-potential-watch-possible/

Sig severe hatch for hail removed from latest SPC Day 1

15% risk out for D5 on top of the slight today and enhanced tomorrow. Looks to be a busy week

Guess we got the icy surprise after all. As for the weekend system, it seems that the moisture will clear out before temps have a chance to drop below freezing, with Monday and Tuesday being bone dry. Unless we get a spring break surprise again this winter is effectively a wrap 

EDIT: WWA Just extended until noon. Maybe a long day ahead of us 

Already at freezing here in Dallas. May be in for a surprise during the morning commute?

EDIT: well its gonna be cold enough now but apparently things are drying out as well. Precip or cold: pick one

18 hours ago, aggiegeog said:

Early next week is becoming interesting for areas north of I-20. Still many days to watch so I am being cautious for now about getting my hopes up.

I'm expecting the usual "35 and pouring outside" we've been getting this winter and last

Website does the same to me on mobile 

Wonder where the first tor warning is gonna pop up? 

Hey some of y'all are doing better than Dallas. We've seen basically nothing for almost 4 years (save for the far northern suburbs)

Day 3 enhanced risk issued. Kinda surprising for late February

DFW winter hasn't even been close to the hype. Glad I was up in McKinney for the covering of snow up there a couple weeks back 

Severe thunderstorm currently traversing the metroplex. 60mph winds and nickel size hail

Sometimes late February/early March can save a season (2014-2015 comes to mind). Am beginning to seriously consider the possibility that this is a "new normal" for DFW rather than a temporary anomaly. If no snow falls this season down by the airport we'll officially be in the longest snowless streak on record 

EDIT: If this seasons ends up at 5th warmest then 15-16, 16-17, and this winter winter then 3 of the last 4 years will fall in the top 10. Meanwhile 09-10 is the only season from this century in the top 10 coldest, with the next most recent top ten being 83-84.

Slight risk extending into DFW metro. Spring getting started early I guess

Some brief sleet showers over in Carrolton per Twitter

Meanwhile a tornado watch has been issued until 1 PM for parts of Louisiana and Mississippi

25 minutes ago, aggiegeog said:

HRRR has been spot on with this system. Another light band to follow later this morning. Both bands should stay north of I-20/30. Y'all enjoy.

Around what time can that be expected?

Big, wet snowflakes falling just south of Prosper in McKinney

Outside chances of both severe weather and winter weather within a 24 hour period is peak north Texas

On 12/27/2018 at 8:09 AM, CheeselandSkies said:

The safest area was bang in the middle of the "enhanced" risk. Calendar still says 2018, for 4 1/2 more days.

 

That is peak 2018 right there

New tor watch issued including Austin and San Antonio

Tor watch out for big swath of the state until 10. Wonder if it will be expanded later