cheese007

My apartment has been without power since the storm rolled through. Hopefully it will come back tonight as my partner is still there and it gets hot without a/c this time of year

300,000 without power in DFW

https://twitter.com/BrianJamesNBC5/status/1137830427580915717?s=19

Crane was knocked over by the winds in Dallss and fell on an apartment

Pouring rain here in Capitol Hill/

Interesting that the second lowest number of tornadoes during this outbreak was the high risk day on the 20th. 

Awfully quiet for two tornado warnings in DFW

Man I came to DC from DFW thinking I would avoid all of this and I ended up under my first tor warning in ages

In DC of all places under a tornado warning 

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

The feed for Jeff Piotrowski looks very ominous. 

 

https://www.pscp.tv/w/b7Xu8TFNV0V3TXpHYldrS2J8MU1ueG52em5uUm14TyToRGMkjgw0aarVrSn85KBoiyjifWi67kz4XcNHeo9h

No audio on my end where is he at?

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

Yeah, the forecast is only going to be as good as the data behind it. I think the parameters that used to give us certain weather when it comes to big storms, either severe or winter storms, just are not the same anymore, and the computer models are just going to be wrong more often than not when it comes to anything other than mundane weather.

Certainly worth asking if climate change is causing these sorts of forecasting failures

When was the last verified high risk? Don't recall if any of the 2017 ones verified

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Still seems like a dangerous situation, but I guess there have not been as many tornadoes or big tornadoes as expected based on what the SPC said. Maybe you can call that a bust, but it has still produced several tornadoes. 

 

When March 3rd of this year had 4x as many tornadoes and was only an "enhanced" risk then as of right now it would be. This is textbook post-2014 chasing season so far

Just now, jojo762 said:

Southward sagging OFB going to likely be the final blow to what seemed like a potentially high-end setup... Obviously still ample potential for a couple of strong tornadoes, but a high risk type event seems very unlikely now.

Considering expectations this could easily end up being one of the biggest, if not the biggest, forecasting busts ever by the SPC. We'll see in the next few hours 

Only 10 tor reports so far per SPC

Power went out in Mangum

New wall cloud on KFOR

Twins on the ground on kfor

Just now, Natester said:

KFOR live feed just went down.

Still going for me

Is that two tornadoes or just a stupid large multi-vortex?

2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

I think capping and lack of forcing mechanism in OK has held things back thus far

Thus far being the key words 

Just now, MN Transplant said:

Ian (sometimes AmWx mid-atlantic member) is playing the Lamesa storm.  Looks like he is in a good position on the south side via Twitter.

Link?

That lowering is *huge*

Seems like dual lowerings on the kfor stream?

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

KFOR stream has a lowering. Pretty darn close to being on the ground. 

https://kfor.com/on-air/live-streaming/

on ground

edit: just lifted

Just now, kvegas-wx said:

Just don't get run over by a northeasterly track.  

> Or get trapped by floodwaters