ForestHillWx

Morris County suckerhole of dry air is filling in; we have flurries. Let's go!

That sucker hole in Morris County has begun to file in. Light flurries have commenced and we have lift off...

25/11...waiting for the game to begin. Good luck everyone.

35 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Narrowsburg, ~800 feet. Pretty close to them though 

Countless river trips at Landers. Going back this summer; covid can’t stop me. 

To my untrained eye, that dry slot showing up in the western half of central and north Jersey, as modeled, will significantly reduce our potential for accumulation.
 

Almost every model has had “something” (I want to call it a transition zone) where the storms energy appears to jump to the coastal, that is going to make for a period of light snow at best. Is that the effect of the 700mb low center?

The January 2016 storm we got 33" out her in Chester; it was an absolute beast of a storm; I think I still have some cell videos I took during the height of it. Just absolutely dumped snow. I remember it well as my wife was 3 months pregnant with our first, my dad was in rehab post double knee replacement and we had a 10 week old puppy. No snowblower or plow, it took me the entire next stay (starting at 6:30 am) to shovel out.

But for some reason, January 96 remains my favorite. It got me into chasing weather.

Sorry for the banter...cheers everyone.

Mostly snow as of 10:30. Could see the change around 10:00 am. No accumulation. 

Temp down to 34.

35/30 here; maybe the heavier rates coming up from PA will help bring the temp down. It’ll be close in my area. 

On the cmc clowns I’m located in that dark blue finger protruding into north west NJ... neat. (Ha, long way to go; for posterity only). 

Flemington is tickling 6”; my area looking like 4” is a real possibility. 

Understood that NYC proper may not accumulate, but I appreciate the continued discussion. Out this way we could be looking at 3-4” that might not melt before Wednesday. Maybe need to plow a bit. 

Is that 5.4 at MMU for Monday? I did not expect that. Could be a big week for us in western Morris County

Forky just tampers the weenies... I am one of them, so I appreciate the reality check.

Still a few mood flakes falling; 1" on the slate patio. Roads were treated; watched them drive by twice. Road crews must be pumped.

With all the doom and gloom aside, its been snowing here for the past 1:30, with accumulation on all surfaces, even the untreated road in front of my house. I will take it. 

28 currently; projected low of 22. 

It stayed at 32 until 11:30 am out here; dropping into the 20s tonight. With the wind, it’s cold.

Woodstove is burning some cherry; smells great. 

The weather is what it is; sometimes I wonder if it wasn’t more enjoyable to track potential with out all of these “indices” telegraphing that winter is over, before it begins. 

I also have to remind myself that I live in North Jersey and not Vermont (at least until my wife gives me the go ahead to move up to the Green Mts.).
 

Moderate...flurries

In my experience most storms that track west of the Apps do not portend snow in the immediate tri-state region. 

Lots of rain out here. Had some good lightening and thunder continues now. Power surged a few times, but so far so good. 
 

Looks like this last line of storms has some poleward movement more so than off the stage right. Not training, but close. 

22 currently. Teens are possible in the overnight hours. 

27 currently. Projected low of 19 tonight; would be first teens of this season. We shall see...

27 currently. Good day for splitting more logs. 

33 currently. Not sure about the overnight low. Might have touched it. 

Wood stove is cranking with some seasoned cherry. Smells great. 
 

Supposed to touch 32 tonight, it’ll be close. 47 now. This could be it for the ‘growing season’.