dsaur

That front running batch Fri morning is very interesting. Could set the table for the whole event. Mostly likely ip that early as the column moistens up.

And there's the devil dance that comes with sleet and zr. .8 of zr is bad, bad news. Thanks for the news, Larry, lol. Hope it's more sleet than zr. Still plenty of time for it to go all ip, or sn.

This is so typical in cases that look like this. With a surge across the middle. Mostly sleet and zr, with enough snow to make it perfect. Just amounts are typically low, but if this verifies that's not low on sleet. That's great! Only it's still way too early to get excited. When it's showing this Wed night and Thurs, I'll start to think it might happen. Such is the nature of backyard totals this far out. Today it's a foot, tomorrow an inch, then.....?

Best storms ever, and several good sleet storms down here too. Just got to be in the band that runs thru n central Ga. Had some bad zr storms though, too. Always on the edge down here when one of these comes across. It's going to get cold according to my point cast, and now with sn, zr and rain. And a mix is pretty standard for these...unless it busts due to the devil line I 20 barrier.

Hey, Shack! Hope she sleds because she's going to have perfection for it. I've seen that, or close, 4 times and they are my favorite storms by far. I think this is a long from settled and there will be lots of surprises, good and bad. Right now it's 47 even with a hot sun in the heat of the day in north central Ga., and more cold air coming, so I think it's about the moisture and if a storm, the waa...not the available cold. All we need is 32 low enough in the column. I'm figuring to be in the several county mostly sleet/snow band......or very sad rain, if it's a fizzle. I was 25 last night so fine for frozen with a cold ground.

Yep, I hate the z monster too, but to get sleet which is my favorite, I have to dance with zrain. That damned waa.

Thanks, Larry. Doing fine here, and hope Sav gets something out of whatever happens It's a sign of how bad things have been that we are living and dying each day on fantasy storms way out in way out land.

.3 is way better than I've had in years, so I'm good with that, lol. Even .3 of zr would be more than a nuisance, but it would be something frozen. And mix in some sleet, and I could still go sliding. That's about what I got in 05 and I had a heck of a good time on it and that's the last time I could sled on concrete. Nearly 20 years, Larry, 20 years. That just ain't right!

Sounds like some bank of Crays needs more buoy data. Look out side when the time comes is still be best predictor, lol. Climo says it's a good time, so let's wait and see. Of course climo is in the process of adjusting too...so look outside to be sure

Kind of reminds me of the 73 bowling ball. I've been reading about the year without a summer, and they were complaining about the warm winters, and how it used to get cold, etc. and it was warm right until about a year after Tambora blew...then suddenly heavy snows in May and off they went, lol. Of course we don't have a historic volcano going off, but other things can make anomalous weather. Of course they had a huge sun spot that looked like a spider on the sun, and people were watching it without fear because of all the dust...so watch out for spiders on the sun.

Thanks, Abacus Man, I've had my trace to a quarter, and heard some sleet patter early in the season, and that's more than I usually get, lol, so I'll deal. Especially with such a pleasant day like today was. Sunny and crisp...reminded me of winter beginning, not ending.

Now the NWS and the system to the sw are mocking me. A forecast low of 28 tonight, fully in clouds now, and 50 at 6pm, with a lot of precip in MIss, some in Ala, and a bunch sw of Miss. all headed toward me. So if one speeds up and the other slows down, I could could get some glory. Guess which one is probably going to speed up, or dissipate, and which is likely to slow down?? And even if Santa should suddenly appear, the outcome would probably be the same, but I'm drunk on hopium so I'll keep an eye on it all, lol.

With a low of 27 to a high of 80 forecast this week it's a typical messed up winter for the 00's so far. 8.4 to open the season, and 27 near the close, with spring in between. It just ain't right. I've lived a long time, and seen a lot of winters, and this one just ain't right, lol. Last time I got in a real good frozen street sledding was in 05, and it's been so long, I'm not sure I could get up from the sled, if I managed to get down there now. Thanks a lot, climo, you and your geologic time.

I need to be sure of something, Mr. Abacus....for every day I get over 80 in Jan, Feb and March I get a huge big ginormos ip/sn storm, is that like climo guaranteed? You got the cold right, so I need to suss out the rest. Is it like one big huge storm for all the over 80's, or is it many separate storms through out spring?? Whatever, I think I've done enough weathering of nasty winter heat to deserve a sleetapoxyclips. Oh, and I do appreciate the coming freezes....and the moles are still wearing Larry masks, so that fantasy storm is sure to verify.

Reel it on in from Abacus Central, Larry...and get me a huge,big, once in 200 year ip event while you are prognosticating, please. The moles are all wearing Larry masks, and it's kind of freaky, but further predictive, I hope.

I'm pretty sure I spotted some wisteria way up a tall pine yesterday while I was out. I was stunned as it's way early, I think, so I need to double check when I'm out again, but I don't know what else looks lavender, and is way up a tree. I suppose it could be a troup of pastel mandrels, but that would be equally as unusual, lol. Song birds have been obnoxiously loud the last few weeks, mocking my love of cold.

Well, I got an 82.7 so I'm counting on tons of ip and sn right around the corner, lol. And sans that, a nice cool to cold March and April will do just fine. I want to see those boys wearing coats and ear muff at the Masters, with periods of frozen precip. Don't think the Master's has even been snowed out, and that's the kind of heating up cycle anomaly I do so enjoy

I don't recall bookend winters having huge sleet storms at the end, but I have seen some cold/cool Aprils and they are wonderful. Kind of like sticking a thumb in the eye of summer and saying back off. Sure it's only slows the inevitable heat, but it's so so satisfying to defy summer with a cold/cool spring. Of course, my point forecast has an 81 in it, lol. My trees are budding, I have a cherry in full bloom, and a wasp was dive bombing the dining room light the other night, so there's that. Either way I'm pulling for you to pull another Sav snow out of your hat.

The only blizzard I ever saw was March 13th. I don't quit on blizzards 'til mid March, and snow until April 1st, and cold until after the Masters is over

Hey, Shack! I've been lurking mostly, forgot my id and password, so it took a while for my old man brain to limber up enough to get them right so I could post. I wanted to follow Larry. The storm missed me by a mile to the south. Just lost some pines. But Hobby Lobby is a mile and a half or so as the crow flies, and it was much closer sw of that. Too close for comfort. The killer Sunny Side Easter storm was a mile and a half, or so north, and this one south, actually there were two side by side as they passed me. So many huge old oaks down everywhere, but oddly not so many into houses. You see them cut up and piled on the curb, but the house seems in tact. Of course, not in every instance. I feel for those poor people that got blasted. I reacted the same way to the Easter storm as I did this storm. My weather radio gave me positions as it came and I calculate the Easter storm would miss north, and these two the other day miss south, but when they were on me, all I could do was stand in the glass porch and look out watching for them, and tracking the position of the thunder. It got dark as night, then the rain in torrents making a funnel impossible to see if it was there, and the siren a quarter mile south, either got taken out by the wind, failed to go off, or the wind and rain and thunder was so loud I couldn't hear it. No one I've talked to heard it. They put it up after the Easter storm killed people when it went thru. The oddest thing happened a minute or two before the super cell got here. It got really quiet, and the wind died. It was like all the air was sucked out of the space. I remember thinking it was like the sea pulling away from shore before the tidal wave came in. No way I was going outside, lol, ...and then the daylight just went away. Next time I'll head to the basement, it could have be Godzilla, and I wouldn't have been able to see him, stomping thru my yard. No need to look for it, when it gets like that.

Thanks, Larry. I thought I remembered late Jan, then mid Feb as being more propitious times. I guess it's Goofy being goofy trying to put a major on at the wrong time. One of these days, though, it will be in the 20's in Cuba, and I'll get my foot of sleet....just hope I'm not experiencing it from under the ground.

There has been a signal for the first week of Feb for a while. What does climo say for that period, Mr. Abacus? Going from 8.4 in Dec to 70's in Jan, has me expecting something equally as anomalous soon....like 100 year sleet storm, lol.

But I may be the only one to post who lived thru Atl in 73. Ask 100 people who live through that, and let's see what the vote is, lol. Pray you never see a truly bad one. An inch or an inch and a half is just nuisance ice, but it would scare the pants off most people. 73 was twice that in some places. Seeing Peachtree street in Buckhead completely covered in downed trees, broken phone poles, with transformers exploding, and the wires popping every were, as far as the eye could see, I mean everywhere, was interesting, and pretty, but I hope I never see the like again, lol. Once was more than enough. Unless you thrive on carnage and destruction. Losing power is like boy, and girl scouts camping, and no biggie. You might have to wear a coat, and eat dry dog food, lol. That's the least of it, and if you live in the middle of a field, you're good too....but, if you have trees....... different deal. Atlanta has trees. T

Well, it's only fitting after last weeks sleet train! Good lucky going forward, you've had it so far. T