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Everything posted by dsaur
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Look up footage on Atl zr in 73. As depicted this would be close to that. No one wants that.
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Surely with a look like this storm is showing I can do better than that, lol. I need two inches of sleet, under foot of snow, to make it memorable...and at least 20 below after to make it all into a Brick. Thanks for the heads up, though, lol.
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wsw flow. One of the keys.
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One of these days we'll get one of these. The more improbable the more possible. Maybe it's this storm, and it will be 40 below after
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Why do these half county sized patches of heavier precip appear on these models? Is it just a black cat in the matrix, or is there some alogarithmic reason for them?
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Why are the models so bad. One give me 8 inches and one gives me less than half an inch. How can I make reliable decisions about the weather 10 days from now when they give me such disparate information?? Why won't congress pay for super accurate space tech level winter weather predictions??? Oh, the humanity.
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Will the Thames have ice fairs again?? Will we see Snow Leopards?? Ohhh...Yeti....I want to see a Yeti...and create ice crystals when I breathe. The moles are all giddy.
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Still have a 20 percent shot at zr Sunday night. Any time I have moisture moving by underneath and cold air in place I figure I've got a shot at frozen, and Ptree City must agree. They are usually not as suppressed as modled when they start moving in.
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This is Larry's storm.
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Ptree City gives me a 20 percent chance of zr Sunday night. How do I get this to a ip/sn pattern down here, lol. Ended up with an inch of ip/sn but got some heavier rain moving in and I've been below freezing all day, so maybe I shrugged off the zr threat this afternoon too soon.
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1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
dsaur replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
Hope if got to you. Mine stopped a few hours ago. Stuck at half an inch I'd guess. Light rain now and 31. On to the 22nd for me. Unless the zr picks up, and I hope it won't. -
1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
dsaur replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
I've seen everything but hail in the last 15 minutes, lol, but it's pretty good snow right now. Probably a half inch on the ground and half that's sleet. -
Glad you went 'cause you're going to get some of my sleet Hope there is a good hill close by. I've got the generator set, solar batteries all charged up as are the Mavic 3 and Avata, and the sleds at hand, the memory foam with the belly hole cut out so I can lay down, the snow tires ready, stuff covered that I don't want iced for a week. I'm set...ready for the good stuff. Currently 37. The column is cold and dry, virga entering Ala....looking like it won't bust. But I know not to believe it until I see it falling.
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And like you I've come to embrace snow more, if it comes. I always liked it but sledding on roads was always paramount. Now my reckless days are past, I can relax and contemplate in the stillness of falling snow...listening to the flakes rubbing against each other as they fall, painting the world in shades of white, with contrasting deep browns and evergreen. And anyway, I've constructed a snow sled out the a slalom ski split down the middle, so I can do grass hills now too, lol. The coming storm as depicted gives me plenty of types to play in, as long as that low stays south. I don't see how the precip can be frozen being that close to the furnace. I think the models are still confused even this close to the event.
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That was my second favorite storm ever. Best sledding storm by far. I had a VW with a studded snow tire on the drive wheel, and we could go anywhere. Up any hill, so we sledded all over town, but ended up on Amsterdam where we went from the top, over the cross road at the bottom then down to devil's dive, an even steeper hill, but not very long... so it was a good two block run, down between cars parked on both sides. 2am and loving it. Riding tandem so probably doing close to 30.... face down inches from the ice, blinded by tears, steering by instinct...and lived thru it, lol. I was living by Lenox Square at the time and could watch it come down with Davison's all lit up under floods, and it was snow for maybe half an hour and I was chanting the whole time...sleet, sleet, sleet....I've taken credit for that storm via the force of my mantra I've a steep hill on a county road down here, but not near as long as Amsterdam in midtown. Amsterdam had cars on both sides, and the county road has a bridge abutment, so you have to go straight. Danger adds spice when you 30, but is totally insane at 77. I have to slide sitting up now, as if I lie down on the sled, that's probably where they'll find me frozen the next day, lol. 28 degrees now and just waiting...
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Thanks to those wishing me a good sleet storm. I have the moles in a sleet thrum, I'm doing a sleet dance...not something anyone wants to see, and I'm pulling this one in big time, lol. To those that don't know, my first big thrill storm was pure sleet back in 60, I think Larry and I worked out. The clouds lowered to the roof tops as I wait by the car to ride to school....never saw clouds that low except when crossing Mont Eagle, and then whoof, a ton of sleet just fell all at once. It was roaring and at least an inch..surely more.. fell in a few minutes. I was a crossing guard at the bottom of a huge hill, at Inman school, for those in Atl, and I was walking the kiddies across the street while cars came down it like bumper cars, lol. We hide behind a wall until the latest fool slid into the curb and I'd run them across, then wait for the next chance. It was fabulous....beyond amazing.. I was in paradise and ever since, going on 65 years I guess, it's been my favorite ever. Way better than snow. Sleet is pure joy to me, and I'd trade 8 inches of pretty but worthless snow, for an inch of sleety concrete every time. So, yeah, I'm a sicko, but we all have our little proclivities...
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Well, you've wondered what 73 was like, lol. This won't be 3 or 4 inches, but if it goes bad it will be pretty bad, so you could get a flavor of it. And if it's all snow and sleet, you'd get to sled on the roads. And take walks in a wonder land. All those ballasts exploding and limbs and trees falling all night.... and the poles down everywhere with live wires... is scary as can be, so it's like a forced horror fun amusement park from hell with out the rabid clowns. People pay to get scared, and you will be scared
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Elevation seems to have little to do with it. I'm 35 to 50 feet lower that the heart of Atl , much higher than 6 flags, maybe 35 lower than Jonesboro, about 100 lower than Fulton Co stadium, yet so many of the models seem to have I20 programmed in, lol. Waa gets to I 20 too. Cad gets past I20 also. Don't they know that??? At least this time Macon is invited to the party.