osfan24

Getting dumped on right now. Heaviest snow yet. This is awesome.

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

aka perfect snow to accumulate fast.  Dumping right now.  

Good stuff. I've easily picked up a couple inches in the past two hours. I feel like every subsequent run of HRRR doesn't change amounts going forward.

8 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

I guess you haven't looked out the window in awhile. 

This wasn't really the beginning of the pattern change. Sure, it's not 45 or 50 and sunny or raining, but really the change is likely coming after this next storm (the magical January 20 date that has been talked about a lot).

I'm just going to pretend the NAM situation from a couple days ago is happening where we got like 15 inches from this part of the storm LOL.

5 minutes ago, frd said:

Despite the look screaming a mix,  do you think the Friday system evolves enough to further drag down the baroclinic zone to our South? 

I know this is a trantional time,  pattern-wise,  but just wondering what you think.    

I'm obviously not an expert, but unfortunately this setup to me does not scream big snowstorm for our area. I also feel like the zone is much more likely to lift up farther north than drag down farther south, but that's just me. I liked the look a little better a couple of days ago, as unrealistic as that probably was, to get the front through and then have a wave form and ride up and dump on us. Either way, we really never do well at the beginning of pattern changes.

Now we are cranking. Up to moderate snow now, huge flakes. Hope I can get a few hours of this before it all winds down.

My band has picked up a little bit more now. Definitely a steady light snow.

Ouch, Kuchera is ugly. I wonder when we open up a thread for the little Friday event?

12 minutes ago, heavy_wx said:

I think the snow detected by the radar is > 500 m above the ground, so with the N wind, it has moved several km south by the time it reaches the ground. I noticed this as the band approached me in North Laurel, where the precip didn't become all that intense until the center of the band was above me.

Maybe that's it, but I'm literally in the middle and actually more toward the end than the beginning of that band and it's still not doing much. Picked up slightly to maybe a steady light snow?

Not buying it because I also fear ice or rain with this one, but get that to nudge just a little farther south and east and it's 2 feet here.

10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

The greens in between the yellows in moco are still mod snow just with smaller flakes. I'm over 8" now and 9" is becoming more likely every time i look at radar.

I'm sitting in the dark greens right now with the yellow band literally a couple of miles away at most and backing into me and it's not snowing above a light snow shower. Not sure what gives.

Snowing lightly now, but steadily enough that the street has caved again even after we got plowed down to wet pavement a few hours ago. Hoping to get into the yellows.

Anytime now.......that band is weakening too as it slowly approaches.

The huge band moving out of DC looks like it means business and seems like it wants to continue to march north.

Waiting impatiently for something to get up here. Band went by me to northwest and everything else falls apart before it gets here.

Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

Does that SV high res map not take sleet and freezing rain into consideration? Curious how much precip falls as snow 

Yeah that can't be right. 20 inches of snow + 1.5 inches of ice? LOL.

Radar continuing to light up but it's like there is a wall right around Laurel and nothing can penetrate it.

9 minutes ago, supernovasky said:

Man I wish I had been able to fully enjoy this event but I was puking my brains out all night. Still it was awesome to see this much snow for my first time ever!

Yeah my wife has the flu and one of my kids has been sick so I've gotten no sleep lately so I didn't really get to enjoy this either. Timing wasn't great with the best stuff hitting overnight. I usually would have stayed up or at the very least woken up a bunch to check it out, but I was so tired I couldn't even bother to get up and look. It's a shame you missed out on this one, but much better storms are to come. I hope we get a 2016 or 2010 redux. That will blow you away. And hopefully those you will get to see some of the better snow during daylight. I'll never forget the CCB action I had for several hours in the afternoon at the end of the 2016 blizzard. It was epic.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1084506484535373825

Seems crazy but I will hug this like crazy.

How the heck do I get a Tweet to show up on here? Can't figure it out.

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

yea, i could be wishcasting a bit, but we've had a couple of rainers overperform as well.  3" would be pretty legit, though.  i would take that and call it a storm.

You are in a much better spot than me. Wouldn't take much of a model error combined with ratios for you to get another 3 or 4, especially looking at current radar.

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

just got back from a nice little hike through cabin john.  outstanding scenery.  5.5" was about the average.

round 2 or 3 or whatever it is at this point looks very appealing at the moment.  not sure how far north and west is goes, but can't underestimate a mild atlantic.  should be interesting to see how much moisture can get thrown back here.

Short-range models have really backed off on significant totals for the last round. Looks like 3 inches max, not that I wouldn't take that, but even the area of 3 is pretty small. Most areas along 95 see mayyybe an inch.

28 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Radar is filling in and moving our way again.  But melting?  It's early January and the temp is 28-30F.  #sunangleseason doesn't start until NEXT week.  

Not a ton of melt but definitely hearing some dripping, snow sliding off the grill cover, etc.

Need the radar to blow up soon. Been flurrying here for a couple hours now but melting is commencing as sun starts fighting through and temps climb.

All short range guidance seems to agree on another 2-4 inches around and east of 95.

Ha, latest SREF has another half foot for BWI. The mean for BWI in its last run last night was also 12 inches so it's sticking to it's original forecast.