winterwx21

85 with a dewpoint of 70 here. It's humid out there, but nothing like the tropical steambath that we had when dewpoints were in the high 70s. 

Looks like very little chance of rain this weekend. Most of the advertised convection for this week didn't really pan out, and we got only about a third of an inch of rain for the entire week here. I'll be watering the vegetable garden today. Hopefully we'll see something on Monday. 

15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models have very little this afternoon but Upton and Mt holly are going 60% chance of showers 

Yeah I don't think there's gonna be much activity this afternoon, but we'll see. 

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

Crazy, 1.18" here.  Had some heavy rain and thunder in the middle of the night with a cell

Yeah I saw that cell popping up on radar last night before I went to sleep. I thought it would miss me just a little to the northwest, and that's what happened. I got only 0.23" from last night's steady rain, but at least it was enough to give the garden a watering. 

Storms missing well to the south, but at least it has been a decent batch of steady light to moderate rain. 0.10" here so far and we'll be adding a little more to that. Just enough to water things out there. 

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Tomorrow looks like a decent chance of some more widespread showers/storms-today looks dry

For south of the city it looks pretty active for tonight. We have a flash flood watch in effect here. I was just looking at the latest models, and they're actually not showing a lot of activity for tomorrow now. This evening might end up being more active than tomorrow. 

43 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I know. These gusts are making me nervous 

Yeah I can't blame you for that after what we went through last week. Thankfully they weren't severe. I did see some nice cloud to cloud lightning. As far as the rainfall, I got 0.08" from that little band of light to moderate rain. 

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's very dark considering there's nothing imminent but yeah I think it will just be showers here unless that stuff take a.more northeasterly approach

Had a couple 30mph wind gusts and a couple rumbles of thunder, but yeah it's only light rain. Probably only gonna get a few hundreths to maybe a tenth out of this.

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Big cell east of Reading could hit parts of middlesex if it holds

It's a very close call for our area. The northern part of the line heading into Mercer and Hunterdon could brush northern Middlesex and maybe even Union if it holds together. 21z HRRR has it missing just a shade to my south with heavy rain going through central Middlesex and light amounts up here, but we'll see. I'm holding off on watering the vegetable garden, hoping we get a decent amount of rain. Wouldn't be a surprise if it's just a shower though. 

34 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Everything dying out.  So much for that training rain :/

Not a surprise that HRRR was way off with the huge amounts for today. That model is very inconsistent, and it seems to be wrong more often than it's right. 

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

I got .50" at my house, mostly done for now.

Not bad. I would've liked that amount to water the vegetable garden. Hopefully I'll have better luck here tomorrow. As others have pointed out, the coverage of storms should be better tomorrow. 

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah I'm up in Warren looks like about to pour

Yeah I see part of Somerset County is getting it pretty good. I'm in between here with the downpours missing to the west in Somerset County and just slightly to the east in Middlesex County. 

Downpour missing just a few miles to the east. 

What a steambath out there. I was outside cutting up a couple big limbs that had fallen in my yard from the severe storm on Thursday. Completely drenched just like I had gone for a run. Feels terrible out there. 

Looking at radar I see a downpour is getting close. 

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like there will be some storms training over the same area sw of nyc and down into pa (if hrrr is right)

 

Looks like this HRRR run was way overdone. We don't have the heavy storms across west-central NJ that this 12z HRRR run was showing for 2pm. HRRR has since backed off somewhat.

We do have some small downpours popping up here and there. I'm getting a little shower here right now. 

51 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Im tired of this rain. Its like every late afternoon clouds up and rains...OK we get fri sat sun but you get my idea

 

Hasn't been a great summer for weather from Memorial Day on...yippee we get 3 days but it should be 6 days with rain chance after that

At least it's perfect timing though with 3 great days for the big holiday weekend. Even tomorrow with temps going into the low 90s, it won't feel bad out there with dewpoints only coming up a little to the low 60s. Couldn't have asked for a better 3 day holiday weekend. 

57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Glad you made out better than we did. They haven't even started cleanup yet. I'm estimating 7 to 10 days before we have power again. Thankfully no damage to my house but many houses had trees crush them and yeah 3 deaths from trees falling on cars

I hope the power comes back for you much sooner than that. I can't imagine not having it for 7 to 10 days, wow. But the main thing is you're ok. Horrible that some houses got crushed and 3 people died. We root for strong t-storms, but of course we don't want to see a storm that's this incredibly severe. 

18 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

No exaggeration worst storm I've ever experienced. Had to be 70-80 mph gusts. Total white out. Hail. My video conked out

Hey Stormlover! I'm glad you're ok. I lost power a few seconds after my last response to you. The power just came back on now -- over 18 hours of no power here. By far the longest power outage I've ever experienced. We didn't even lose power for long here during Sandy. 

I agree with you -- this was the worst storm I've ever seen. Wind gusts were easily over 70mph here. Projectiles flying through the air like I've never seen before and the biggest amount of trees down that I've ever seen. 

Couldn't cook dinner last night with the power out, so we decided to go to Longhorn Steakhouse (they didn't lose power there). Usually it takes 8 or 9 minutes to get there, but it took over a half hour because so many roads were closed. Was starting to think I couldn't get there but I found a way. It was amazing driving around and seeing the huge amount of damage. Definitely the worst t-storm damage ever since I've lived here. 

Since the power was out so long, I decided to cancel our 4th of July cookout today. Not enough time to get things ready now. A shame because of the perfect weather, but we're gonna have the cookout tomorrow and Sunday instead. I will still light off some fireworks tonight though. 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Big time gust 

Holy Cow. This is the most severe storm we've had in years. I just watched 2 trees come down. Insane north winds gusting over 60. 

9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Wow I was wrong

National Weather Service New York NY

547 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

 

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Union County in northeastern New Jersey...

  Richmond County in southeastern New York...

* Until 630 PM EDT.

* At 546 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Far Hills, or

  7 miles north of Somerville, moving southeast at 30 mph.

 

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

Warning for Middlesex as well. Very strong wind gusts here right now. 

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Warning for Morris and somerset. Should weaken at the union county border

Hopefully it holds together enough to give us a decent storm. It certainly looks good on radar right now. 

Pretty dry out there -- dewpoint is down to 58 here. Temp is 90. Nice summer afternoon. 

Should hit at least 90 here today, but the dewwpoint is down to 62. Doesn't feel bad out there with the lower humidity. Severe weather risk this evening, but it looks like just isolated activity and more likely to the north. 

Tiny downpour. It poured for about 2 minutes. 

I got 0.32" overnight after getting 0.49" yesterday. I see HRRR says the heavy stuff is gonna miss to the south and only gives us light rain tonight, but who knows. Some other models hit us. No big deal if today ends up missing since I already got a nice 0.81" soaking. Feels very steamy out there with the dewpoint at 75. 

0.46" here so far today.