H2O

5 minutes ago, mappy said:

Got it. Hope that virga doesn’t eat too much of your qpf. Would hate to see the new north and west bust 

Usually the heat lowlanders have from being low and rainy more cause the snow to evaporate.  So could be an issue.  EastCoastNPZ is part of the NW crew and never does well.  The new NW crew will have their own Stephens City. 

33/22  waiting

Gonna be thankful for anything i get and know that the tables will turn at some point.  Lowlander here who roots for everyone except short pump and Carbondale

29.8/23. Clouds held off long enough to cool almost 16° from my high yesterday. 
 

Now the waiting game begins. Good luck to everyone and I hope y’all see lots of snow

40/23

45/26  Full sun and roasting

Please clouds hold off until 6am tomorrow morning. Once sunset hits tonight I need this

22 minutes ago, Ellinwood said:

Snow forecast for February 11-12... lots of uncertainties with precip types on the south end and QPF amounts on the north end, and some areas could suffer rate issues during the afternoon. As a result, forecast confidence isn't that great.

Good map. I’m well out of the gray of goddammit and cyan of sadness. Last time I was in The cyan of sadness it turned into goddammit gray. 
 

But sitting well within the light blue of booyah is comforting. 

50 minutes ago, MacChump said:

looks like philly may get screwed, just can't catch a break this week

Can’t believe how bad you all had it last night. Total screw job

6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I think I had 1.7” in one of those really lean years.

There was one winter I had under 1”. 
 

If anyone is gonna understand y’all’s pain it’s me. And others to my south and east. Since 2016 the number of storms that do better up north and shitty here are pretty noteworthy. It’s climo and location and it makes sense. I don’t begrudge that. Places are supposed to get more snow than me. 
 

I hate the bickering. Yes snow is IMBY. But I don’t need to be in the jack every storm. I just want to be in the storm. If yall are supposed to get 8” and me 3” that’s fine. What is irritating is those that want the most at the expense of others. Like if the jack was 12 but it would shift places to the south to no snow then that’s when people will get salty. That’s where a lot of this is coming from. 
 

I have said and will always say I don’t need to be in the jack. Is it nice?  Sure. But for me it’s for comfort more than bragging. It only gives me hope that I won’t be flipping to a mix like I do more often than not. The best storms to me are ones that give EVERYONE a nice amount. If yall get 5 or 8 or even 10 then great!  Just let me be in the game some. Don’t root for a lot where the gradient near me is between 3” and nothing. Because that nothing becomes more likely thanks to my awful microclimate 

I wish we didn’t have to deal with this north south shit every winter. I’m happiest when all my friends get a nice snow and it’s falling IMBY too

I have had winters with less than 3” total

A yacht rock halftime show would be the greatest of all time

Someone is a drake fan

Really wish some people wouldn’t feel the need to pad their post count 

I ain’t watching. First time in forever. Just don’t care and glad it will be over

55 minutes ago, mappy said:

I don’t see any threat of a mix for you, just surface temps right at 32. But a good thump and evap cooling will help you! Hope you see 5”  

I’ll take 32-34F as long as the column stays cold.  Angle of the daylight might white rain some. You can get some more qpf and make out well thanks to colder temps up there. 
 

Go get you 5” too. Or more!

I have no issue cutting snow map totals in half where I am. Still would be a 4” snow and I’m happy with that. 
 

Hope everyone north and south see a snow they can be happy with. The bickering is so dumb

14 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Whoever started this thread sucks

This place after every model run 

19 minutes ago, mappy said:

... and that is why you're one of my favorite people. 

As long as I'm still in the top 20 then I'm happy

6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

absolutely! And the First Watch there for breakfast. It's a good spot, I am pleased to have that lease. Good transition to the next phase for me. 

Best of luck on that new phase and may your move bring more snow to mappy

Just now, WesternFringe said:

It's just one page back.

Not 43 pages?

Just got a WWA for my hood

No mistaking the north trend on the GFS. It’s gonna be euro like by Sunday morning

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Like I said yesterday, people gotta set their expectations in check. Foot plus snowstorms are rare and for a reason.  GFS was the only one being crazy with these amounts. It’ll prob come down to Earth today or tonight.  I think the 6z Euro is our max.  I’m good with that. 

Snow maps are the devil.  Being in the jack sets everyones expectations too high cause then you get runs that jump around and it causes all the OH NOES.  and this is despite people also making posts saying they know things shift.  Yet they take one goddamn run with the most and say THIS IS WHAT HAS TO HAPPEN!!  

I'm expecting the models to cut back on the jumping(GFS) and if it shows a consistent 4" for the area then its a good storm.  When you have a train of waves, each run will focus on one wave over another depending on the model.  

I trust the NAVGEM.  

15 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Anyway, I’m gonna pick up the pbp at 12z.  Just gonna keep it neutral:  Good (folks), decent, serviceable and not ideal.  Also, keep in mind, I’ve always championed ANY snow as good. 1-3 2-4.  So just because I say a model with 4-6 is a step back from the previous run is not ideal, doesn’t mean I eschewing 4-6 inches.  Ok? I’m just describing a model relative to its previous run.  
 

With that said, I hope you motherfuckers get buried. I’m also begging someone to post about how they have important plans on Tuesday and Wednesday.  
 

I have important plans Tuesday and Wednesday.  They are important.  And they are plans.  

Its funny how I slammed the Euro yesterday for jumping around and then the GFS says "hold my weenie."  These big shifts are getting to be old AF.  Not as old as Wes, mind you, but old.  I just want to get a nice snow and not one that wrecks my back.  A permanent hunch is not sexy.  

47/31 and here's to the 12z being the best runs since 2016.