H2O

This place after every model run 

19 minutes ago, mappy said:

... and that is why you're one of my favorite people. 

As long as I'm still in the top 20 then I'm happy

6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

absolutely! And the First Watch there for breakfast. It's a good spot, I am pleased to have that lease. Good transition to the next phase for me. 

Best of luck on that new phase and may your move bring more snow to mappy

Just now, WesternFringe said:

It's just one page back.

Not 43 pages?

Just got a WWA for my hood

No mistaking the north trend on the GFS. It’s gonna be euro like by Sunday morning

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Like I said yesterday, people gotta set their expectations in check. Foot plus snowstorms are rare and for a reason.  GFS was the only one being crazy with these amounts. It’ll prob come down to Earth today or tonight.  I think the 6z Euro is our max.  I’m good with that. 

Snow maps are the devil.  Being in the jack sets everyones expectations too high cause then you get runs that jump around and it causes all the OH NOES.  and this is despite people also making posts saying they know things shift.  Yet they take one goddamn run with the most and say THIS IS WHAT HAS TO HAPPEN!!  

I'm expecting the models to cut back on the jumping(GFS) and if it shows a consistent 4" for the area then its a good storm.  When you have a train of waves, each run will focus on one wave over another depending on the model.  

I trust the NAVGEM.  

15 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Anyway, I’m gonna pick up the pbp at 12z.  Just gonna keep it neutral:  Good (folks), decent, serviceable and not ideal.  Also, keep in mind, I’ve always championed ANY snow as good. 1-3 2-4.  So just because I say a model with 4-6 is a step back from the previous run is not ideal, doesn’t mean I eschewing 4-6 inches.  Ok? I’m just describing a model relative to its previous run.  
 

With that said, I hope you motherfuckers get buried. I’m also begging someone to post about how they have important plans on Tuesday and Wednesday.  
 

I have important plans Tuesday and Wednesday.  They are important.  And they are plans.  

Its funny how I slammed the Euro yesterday for jumping around and then the GFS says "hold my weenie."  These big shifts are getting to be old AF.  Not as old as Wes, mind you, but old.  I just want to get a nice snow and not one that wrecks my back.  A permanent hunch is not sexy.  

47/31 and here's to the 12z being the best runs since 2016.  

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

Is it September yet? lol 

Can we Time warp thru spring and summer to get there quicker?

10 minutes ago, mappy said:

That's a bit surprising. Figured #8 had it.

 

My boy The Kid with offensive rookie of the year though 

Daniels was the most fun part of watching the Commanders this year. Dude was electric

Time to focus on this event and ignore the one for Tuesday cause people in there are fucking ridiculous 

7 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Can you share some microfiche copies? 

Dial up wasn't OG.  The OG of weather message boards was the Telegraph and morse code.  I've been around that long.  

And since this is the model disco storm obs thread: 36.5/35 and cloudy/clear

Go Caps and the 0z runs look dry/norther/souther/wetter

I want the SER to get squished just a little more.  

30 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

My kids will go to school 1 day next week if gfs verifies. Fairfax might just call it a year?

Why you gotta do that to @mattie g this early?

Gimme a bit more souther to feel safer about not mixinger with sleeter and I can stay snowier

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Was someone complaining that GFS, GEFS, Icon, GGEM, Ukie, Euro, and EPS all give the metro corridor and surrounding areas a warning level snowfall at D5?

Is it just me or is the euro struggling more with this than the GFS?  the 0z euro was well north?  Now its south?  GFS might be shifting around as well and overdone but euro is like 75 mile jumps it seems

Gone are the days when 6" would leave a smile on most of our faces.  Once a model spits out a +12" everyone loses their fucking minds at anything less.  5-6" is plenty to have fun with.  

33.3 and pouring.  .71" precip

Trees have a nice thin glaze on them

19 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Thank you northern tier counties for not making HoCo stick out so embarrassingly.

Fauquier said hold my scraper

Roads just wet here. 

32.5. Just rain

34.6/23

Light precip falling

Given that this was never going to be a true snow event, whenever it comes to ice the warmer the better.

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Know sknow for you.

I new it