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JKEisMan

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Everything posted by JKEisMan

  1. Now let’s bring it further west for WOR crowd
  2. Man hours 90 and 93 low just winding up off the NC coast.
  3. Was chasing offshore at first with triple low blob, then double surface lows at hour 81
  4. It’s either a sign that this setup is tricky/hard to model or that model is a pos.
  5. Man I just looked at the Rufus (RRFS), what a pile of monkey dung.
  6. Yeah looks like NAM would’ve been a good hit
  7. We need some wholesale shifts, given that the ensembles are tightening up - expected as the timespan lessens. Basically we need factors that will induce whole ensemble shifts. Not impossible but time is running out.
  8. Yeah seems delayed. Must be brewing up a good dumping.
  9. This thing is causing model mayhem, so much flip flopping.
  10. Looks like it’s gonna ride up the coast further west
  11. Big shift west from 12z, brings half inch qpf to NY state border
  12. Jogs east after being 970 off the Delmarva. Still clips SEMA pretty well
  13. I think we‘ll see some surprises before tomorrow, hopefully positive. This is a huge storm and setup somewhat outside the norms, not sure the models have a full hold despite the SWFE flavor. We‘ll be in a nowcast mode soon enough.
  14. Any indication of how models are doing based on what’s happening out west?
  15. Rufus looking like it’s pushing sleet further north too
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