We need some wholesale shifts, given that the ensembles are tightening up - expected as the timespan lessens. Basically we need factors that will induce whole ensemble shifts. Not impossible but time is running out.
I think we‘ll see some surprises before tomorrow, hopefully positive. This is a huge storm and setup somewhat outside the norms, not sure the models have a full hold despite the SWFE flavor. We‘ll be in a nowcast mode soon enough.