ILSNOW

12z UKMET is much colder than other models

12z Euro (way to early) agrees with you ice comment

snow has gone over to pingers

snow in Buffalo Grove

Defer to Ricky above. 0z HRRR comes in hot .

from Milwaukee using the "B" word

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10
  inches, highest amounts near the lake. Winds gusting as high as
  35 to 40 mph with blowing and drifting snow. Near blizzard
  conditions in the afternoon and early evening.

* WHERE...Ozaukee, Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha Counties.

18z NAM steroids

wow!!!  thats a big number

ILZ003>005-008-150400-
/O.NEW.KLOT.WS.A.0001.230216T0900Z-230217T0300Z/
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Ogle-
Including the cities of Rockford, Belvidere, Crystal Lake,
Algonquin, McHenry, Woodstock, Rochelle, Oregon, and Byron
154 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations in excess
  of 6 inches are possible, along with some minor ice
  accumulations. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Winnebago, Boone, McHenry and Ogle Counties.

* WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slick, snow covered roads. The hazardous
  conditions are likely to impact both the morning and evening
  commutes on Thursday.

and I know that this has a 0% chance of verifying but great screensaver!!!!

While we are all wasting our time on this Thursday the fantasy GFS has this next wednesday

5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Exactly

I guess I'll clarify my other post.  I do think it's not out of the question for this to produce at least 6" somewhere, but it would require that it's not a strung out piece of garbage to the tune of the 18z NAM.  And in that case, the main snow band would likely end up north of Chicago.

as 18z GFS shows

7 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Where'd you get this from before they actually posted it?

Went there and it was posted.

from our friends at NWS

Farther to the northwest, a southwest to northeastward oriented
baroclinic zone is expected to set up over far northwestern IL and
adjacent areas of southern WI and eastern IA Wednesday into
Wednesday night following the departure of the potent storm system
tracking across the Upper Midwest Tuesday night. This baroclinic
zone is likely to foster a band of moderate to possibly heavy band
of accumulating snow late Wednesday night into Thursday as
strengthening mid-level deformation along the systems
northwestern periphery induces a rather healthy band of
frontogenesis beneath the entrance region of an upper jet.
Questions still remain on which exact areas this band of
accumulating snow will occur, but current indications would
support this roughly along and southwest to northeastern corridor
from northern MO and southern and eastern IA through far northern
parts of IL (north of I-88) into WI. There is also a threat of a
light wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet just south of the
heavier band of snow, and this wintry mix could fall across parts
of the I-80 and I-88 corridors (including parts of the Chicago
metro area) Thursday morning. Overall, this system does not look
to be a major snow or ice maker for the area, but with the
potential for a few inches of snow to fall

yep there was time with this map that this place would be alive

Euro

UKMET

15 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

East will translate to weaker, less phased and more sheared.


.

So if we want snow in Chicago what do we need to see happen?

Another 50-100 miles east and we would be in good shape

Beavis weather

12z Euro very impressive by the lack of snow east of the Mississippi

Chicago NWS Special Statement

The snow shield that had been scheduled to be lower by February 15th will now remain in place thru November 15th. Further updates will be announced after the summer.

February and no snow with this storm there is just no cold air

12z Euro which is an improvement from yesterdays 12z run. At least the folks in northern texas do well !!!!!

So Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow meaning another 6 weeks of winter on top of the 6 days we have had so far.