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Everything posted by The Ole Bucket
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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Afternoon church service time. Here’s what it’s like out there tho: https://mobile.twitter.com/forecaster25/status/1482786486777004038 -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sidestreets downtown covered. Still pouring cold smoke. Now THAT was a Jebwalk! -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not as much snow in Cville but the temp situation has been the same. If anything temps inched DOWN as the precip came in. Now at 18F -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is still absolutely cold smoke here in Cville. Very unusual. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Under the radar, I think, is that Sterling now a little more aggressive on snow totals. Back to where we were prolly 36 hours ago. Ice prospects definitely declining. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
OK now main road in Cville has caved. But still plenty passable. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nope. Main drag is just wet. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Definitely would call it mod snow now. Actually cooled a tad and back to 19F in my part of Cville. Sidewalks and road shoulders all covered. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
You're not alone. Many cases where high expectations for the thump are left unmet. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
I live on a main road in Cville so my chief focus through the midday will be when the road caves. They pretreated the ever-loving-hell out of the main arteries. And the 5th Street Station (large strip mall) parking lot this morning was filled with linemen and their trucks ready to deploy for any power outages. Must have been 30 trucks there. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Precip and wind picking up. Temp up to 20F. So much for snowing while in the teens. But it's gonna get interesting out there quick! -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
It won't last long but snowing at 19F is decidedly unusual for Charlottesville. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
First flakes confirmed in downtown Charlottesville -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
Can confirm it is cold. Midwest cold. I love it. But within reason. I will enjoy the upcoming icebox even if we don't have a pretty white landscape to go with it. But what I appreciate about the Mid-Atlantic is that you get these brief spells of deep winter... it doesn't last foreeeevvvverrr like it does in MN or WI. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
TBH the best part of the evolving forecast from Sterling and local mets is to cut down on the ice. Central VA had people that were without power for a week from the last storm. Could do without that. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
17/1 in my neck of Charlottesville. NE wind at 8. Will be very interesting who wins the battle of the short-term models. HRRR gives us 7+. NAM gives us basically nothing. I'll be happy with a split decision. Will also report how it feels later today, headed outside shortly. Might be the coldest its been here, wind chill wise, in several years. Usually when it's in the teens there's no wind at all. -
January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast
The Ole Bucket replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
29/4 at CHO -
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I don't doubt that the GFS and Euro are overselling the snow. But there's no way the NAM gets this exactly right. Local mets are saying 4-8" across the Piedmont.. with a quarter inch of ice. That sounds about right.
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lol the NAM gives me half an inch of snow and 8 tenths of ice.
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Am I wrong in thinking that snow totals are overdone in the Piedmont here? I've seen this kind of thing plenty of times in my 11 years in Charlottesville and I have to imagine that a lot more of that liquid is gonna be sleet and FRZ than what the Euro is showing. The Valley and I-81 are gonna be blitzed but I have this feeling that it will be 28-29F at the surface just east of the Blue Ridge but pelting sleet and then pouring freezing rain come midnight...
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You're not quite living up to your name with this stuff!
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That's the spirit! Incidentally, Sterling under the radar has moved I-95 into the medium confidence, medium impact zone. An improvement! And snowfalls through 7pm
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NAM is always warm, hour 80 and 84 never matter... come on where's the confidence?!
