T. August

I think what some aren’t grasping is that unwarranted optimism can be just as irritating as unwarranted pessimism.

18z ICON drier and a bit SE. It’s like .1 wetter for 95 but in general more dry for NW areas. The area of the heaviest precip moved a bit SE. 18z Rgem throws some more precip more NW compared to 12z

It’s better than usual. In the last 2 pages of the disco only 1 person posted a snow map. Now, it was a depth map, which is an even more egregious offense.

All I’m saying is that when the temp wants to be 33-34, and we need a force to keep it away from that... we fail 9 out of 10 times.

The nam is ok until you realize the sfc isn’t freezing until you go 50 miles nw of 95.

People forget about SE HarCo too. They associate this county with Bel Air, Street, Norrisville, the big snow areas. The snow climo for Aberdeen, HdG and Edgewood is abysmal. Sunday was terrible compared to even over by you. Going with the least snowy model/forecast has always worked. like even the blizzard of ‘16. I measured around 20”. Bel Air?? 32”+. That’s 10 miles away.

12z GFS completely dropped the frigid temps in the MA. It does however have a big dog lurking at like 216-270.

When are we pulling the plug? 18z?

Going with 2-3” for SE Harford County through SE Baltimore County south to Annapolis. Maybe someone gets 3.5”-4” MBY: 2.8” BWI: 2.2”

Listen, I know you are kidding, but...

Shaved total qpf too by about 20%.

Are we looking at the same thing lol? It’s like .2-.3 before rain unless I’m looking at it wrong.

I loved that Jan. one. Went to bed to rain and woke up to 6-7”. of SNOW... miss me with that, RR.

I really want a 31-degree plastering. The kind where there is like a half-foot on tree branches, fence posts, and all other small diameter surfaces. thanks in advance

Pretty much all snow gone.

The 18z GFS has a max over my house. I promise you that isn’t happening so you can move it as you see fit.

Damn I was gone for literally 24 hours and we have a WSW. Any takers on how this is gonna fail for the Bay? I’m thinking a NW of 95 secondary max, consisting of someone with a crazy (yet real) total of 6-7”, with a jack over by @CAPE, leaving SE Harford through Baltimore down towards Annapolis with 2-3”.

Damn there’s a 10.0 reported in Norrisville in NW HarCo. @mappy I guess you’d be the closest on the board... what did you get?

Over 6” on the ground in Darlington. Storm total has to be close to 7-7.5 before compaction and melting. Edit: essentially anecdotal as I wasn’t here to measure accurately.

I mean ok

.2” early morning brings total to 3.6”. Maybe another few tenths throughout the day will get me to 4.0.

I hate that my call of 3-5” for SE Harford was dead-on. No piece of guidance had less than .5, and most were .75+. The WAA was much drier than modeled and forecast, on the order of 50%. I never had faith in the coastal, but even with that, at such a short lead, models were showing some moisture in my ‘hood and down on the upper Eastern Shore. The precipitation was about 30 miles too for NW once it finally was thrown back. I don’t think a single model got the distribution of the precip in the MA correct. Some more than others obviously, but still. 12z GFS was ~50 miles too far east with the banding that occurred this evening.

It had me getting 8-12” even last night lmao

Sunlight

Exactly the same here (.3). My total is 3.4”.