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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Conway7305
    Safe to say we are in a good spot at moment
  2. Conway7305
    as much as the GFS was suppressed, I’m glad we didn’t have a significant N shift
  3. Conway7305
    12z ICON lowers totals here, sleet mixing in. Still 8” but NOVA get crushed. Although it’s just the ICON so not too worried
  4. Conway7305
    2016 was epic. Hard to believe we are right at the 10 year mark about. I live near Short Pump and we had 16 inches. Beautiful Storm
  5. Conway7305
    yeah, we need to halt the northern movement. Storm is transferring into a coastal and that pulls in warm air off the ocean. Regardless, we all start w/ snow, but as the coastal forms it might go to sleet I do not think we get those high accumulations because of sleet
  6. Conway7305
    That 0z UKMET run was insane. Like 28”
  7. Conway7305
    Also the “Northern Outlier” CMC was a colder run on 0z . We still get snow then sleet but it is very close to being all snow. Just a few more runs to correct.
  8. Conway7305
    Great Ensemble run
  9. Conway7305
    Be interesting to see the 18z GFS ensembles.
  10. Conway7305
    there are some massive hits on the euro ensembles for this wknd storm. Some 2+ feet.
  11. Conway7305
    check this 300 hour total on the Euro AIFS. This is frame worthy and I’ve never seen anything ever like this in 20 years of tracking . Multiple storms come in after this one.
  12. Conway7305
    Euro won’t budge
  13. Conway7305
    huge
  14. Conway7305
    lol… Short Pump with 47”
  15. Conway7305
    still holding steady
  16. Conway7305
    Can anyone post the Euro AI Ensembles?
  17. Conway7305
    Steady she goes…for now
  18. Conway7305
    I think we are in a good spot based off 18z GEFS. Things always trend NW. Would rather be in this position than storm position NE
  19. Conway7305
    Onto 0z
  20. Conway7305
    Wait for ensembles. Operational is mute at this range
  21. Conway7305
    Let it be true, out here at Brewery drinking a little for early Happy Hour! Will cheers to this!…I know it will change but for now….
  22. Conway7305
    Let it be true!!
  23. Conway7305
    Cards may be falling into place late Jan/Early Feb. STJ starts to get active. +PNA -EPO -AO hopefully -NAO, MJO moving into phase 8.
  24. Conway7305
    Cards may be falling into place late Jan/Early Feb. STJ starts to get active. +PNA -EPO -AO hopefully -NAO, MJO moving into phase 8.
  25. Conway7305
    18z GFS wit a true Miller A storm. STJ gets going!
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