tramadoc

The 3K NAM is verbatim WSW criteria for AKQ CWA. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Let’s be honest... how real do we think this is? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Imma just leave this right here for everyone to s**t their pants over. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

As of 3am per the RAP. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Found it. https://weather.us/model-charts/rapid-us/north-carolina/snow-depth-in/20180118-0900z.html Just change parameters. How good is the RAP? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Can you post a link to the RAP? I looked on TT, but can’t find it. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Very cool. Hopefully we see WSW's.

Am I in that? LOL

Yep

@SteveVa I think we might get a couple of inches and maybe more if that low creeps closer. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Have the MA guys started their meltdown yet? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Maybe we get the 3-4" I was hoping for. Fingers crossed.

Wear a mask and come back as The Masked Assassin like Dusty Rhodes did back in the day.

Thought you might like this from the latest AFD from Wakefield. Confident in period of moderate snow inland, given well-modeled narrow band of negative EPV dropping over the SW zones in the Piedmont (I-85 corridor). There could be a very narrow corridor of 4-6" of snow in this band. However, expect this would be very localized and hard to pin- down, so there is no need for a watch or warning at this time. Slightly less confident into SE VA. To reiterate...we have issued a Winter Weather Advisory over Hampton Roads for the late morning and afternoon. However, we are still a bit concerned with sharpening axis of F-Gen/OPRH depicted by the 12z (and now 18z) high-res NAM. Issue will be that we will have a very narrow window within which to receive moderate snows into Tidewater area, before best axis of moisture slides offshore. Potential is there for warning criteria snows (and criteria is 3" for SE VA). However, after collaboration with neighboring offices and WPC, will hold off with warning for now. Narrow window of potential snowfall is the primary issue. Should later model runs continue to depict this potential, an upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning for all or part of the Hampton Roads area may be needed. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

What are the chances totals down this way go up? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Thanks Steve. Looks as if we are on the upswing with totals. I’d like to see at least 3-4” if possible around here. Hope everyone scores. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

I really hope that everyone can score better than 2” with this. The NAM has been trending wetter farther east with each successive run. I am hoping and praying that it’s correct and RIC, ORF, ECG all see amounts 3” and higher. Where did you find the Kuchera graphics? Can you post ECG for me? Thanks in advance. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

12K NAM looks really good for you guys up around RIC, all the way to ORF, and down to ECG. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Update

I can't take the constant snark that DT has.

In their revised AFD at 1140 or so, they stated that looking at 12Z model runs they might put up a WWA for NE NC and SE VA during next package output due to increase in QPF. By the way, we won't hit our forecasted highs for the day.

Waiting on some good ones

I'm thinking a non-event. 2 meter temps will be too warm. Forecasted high of 41 Wednesday.

Heat island?

Two words that shouldn't be in the same sentence. Weenie and tingling.