NCSNOW

The snow will be insane cause I can smell the rain. Much improved GFS

Just now, BIG FROSTY said:

Yes, all in!

Good deal and encouraging. Thanks for sharing. Get Brick on board and well be ready to roll.

3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

Yes seems to be slowly getting there! 

You heard any good news from our friend over in the foothils today?

17 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Still too warm but building a southern trend. Snow line is down to the N.C./VA line

Nice trends on icon today.

UKMET SNOWFALL: Just like FV3 for mtns. Wowza, probably has alot of ice getting thrown in for central NC, like the euro

over 24 inches. Let that sink in for a minute.

Just now, Wow said:

Snowing in W half of NC for nearly 48 hrs per the FV3

Cant draw it up any better. Oh the wait and hanging on to this/ locking it in. You'll see your foot finally

Someone do me the favor in a few minutes and post the clown map off FV3. This will be historic eye candy. 

Waiting on the clown map pastebombs tonight, showing everything painted 12÷ south of Mt Airy, BIG FROSTY.  He'll be shaded in the dusting color all the way up to the start of the event. Then when we post final storm obs he'll have 19 and rest of us will be talking about what almost was.

Heres a drone fly over of Interstate 40 in Duplin County. This puts in perspective how dire the inland flooding is.

https://www.wfmynews2.com/video/new...a-flooded-i-40-in-duplin-county-nc/83-8255013

Sadly the death toll is up to 32 from Florence. and as feared the Cape Fear is setting new records for all time highs at many gauges. Heres a bfore and after pic I saw. This river flooding is going to be historic as many of us guessed it would be. Florence will be one of the top 10 costliest Hurricane disasters in our countrys history.

Official highest gust at Wilmington is 105mph. Off to the southwest she goes, probably get back over water in Brunswick county.  Bad news for Holden Beach, my family vacation spot for 25 years straight.

Bad News is the sandwich effect and duration. That surge is gonna push back on all the river basins, large areas of sounds, the big rivers are and will be flowing in reverse direction for another 48 hours possibly. Then you got 48 hours of rain coming down with nowhere to drain to.

Anyone post the 4 day rainfall total for NC , out through Monday  off GFS. Trying to see how much from the Raincaine , goofy thinks is gonna fall. Thanks

Posted by accident in the main thread, but you can watch the webcams at atlantic beach and see the waves really getting up now, occasionally kissing the underside of the pier.

12z summary.

Every model land falls New Hanover or Pender county NC. Did the canadian get onslow? Any way you slice it the surge is gonna be a nightmare from Wilmington up to ocracoke right past Morehead City. But despite  this and the big wind, the flash flooding then river flooding to follow espeacilly in southern coastal plain is gonna be one for the ages I'm afraid. And that's saying alot after what's taken place just the past 20 years on our coast and enc. 

All eyes on euro and its ensembles to see if they kiss the same landfall point mentioned above by the 12z suite before doing the slow death crawl all weekend across SC

1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

Thats amazing.  If you get the full eye you would have time to clean up the yard, wash the car, grill some burgers and take a nap before the backside comes thru!

Cant imagine that is accurate?!

Oh its accurate. Go pull up the 12z Nam sim radar views, zoom in at landfall forecast and its breathtaking how massive the eye. These EWRC have made this into a monster size wise. You can fit almost  All of Randolph,Guilford,Forsyth and Davidson county inside the Nam sim view of the eyewall. Its posted on the other board. Really puts size of storm in perspective.

10 minutes ago, griteater said:

Looks like the UKMet brings it into Morehead City area (hr72), then into E NC (hr96), then SW to Greenville, SC (hr120)

HWRF had this excat same track last night. Hit Morehead and went SW to Lumberton and spun itself out.

Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

GFS finally caved. 

Yep, the euro and its end suite has done a very consistent job from late last week. Upper sc coast to Brunswick County,New Hanover county.  None of this kiss Hatteras hula loop shenanigans.

The timing and strength of the OV ridge is gonna decide who and where the hammer is gonna drop. Some folks gonna need that hammer to help construct an Ark.

Latest hwrf loop takes Florence in Morehead area and goes west, then southwest to Lumberton by Saturday

Well step 1 prep is complete: fired up the 18 year old powerboss 5500 and it fired on the second pull. Haven't yanked it in several years. Deal I made 18 years ago gets cheaper every big wx event. Anyway I'll hold off on step 2 till tommorow afternoon or Wednesday, Gas and propane gas for Grill. 

Yep lines up well with NHC forecast. Best bet is a Brunswick,NewHanover county landfall to me, with Horry County and Onslow being the goalpost now. Kinda of narrowing those down.