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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 990mb to 971mb in 6 hours..that would rip some toupees off.
  2. That is so correctable...phase it like 6 hours later-
  3. I do TBH.....I would rather see that than the cut off hanging out with @raindancewx I will go out on a limb and say the GEFS mean will be east of this depiction-
  4. Certaintly not....need it a bit east.
  5. No, I'm not saying CC caused the record RNA.
  6. Also, I never meant that every RNA/neg NAO pattern would do that, either....ovviously the individual patterns matter...just that its possible its becoming more prevalent.
  7. This is true. But I did see some pretty convincing composites from Bluewave. I guess we will have to see how much this secondary nadir of the Pac cold phase has biased things.
  8. Does anyone need to be convinced that ambient heights are greater now than in the past? Obviously that is going to make adjoining ridges more common. I do agree that extreme cases like 2022 will exaggerate that...
  9. I just said it isn't just two years. I've seen the composites.
  10. True, but there has undoubtedly been more of a tendency for the se ridge to adjoin with the negative NAO over thr past 15 years or so, which isn't favorable.
  11. How many times have we seen -NAO/RNA fail recently? CC is making that paradigm less auspicious.
  12. Probably a few outliers skewing the mean.
  13. -NAO blows here....thank god we get to smoke cirrus on the 6th instead of enduring a cutter before a blizzard.
  14. I wouldn't totally give up where you are....
  15. The ceiling on 1/6 for me is more frustration while seeing photos of Steve's dogs in the snow....pardon my lack of enthusiasm.
  16. EURO looks worse than the GFS for the 11th....really buries that SW energy.
  17. Yea, he loves him some warm and snowless.
  18. Glad I learned my lesson and still went below average snowfall on the season, despite the ostensibly "favorable" January Outlook.
  19. Its become easy for me to root against the need to maintain the blog with a 4th child due Friday...it really needs to be worth my while.
  20. Say what you will about the progged mean long wave pattern for January, but I have one more shot at avoiding hitting the midway point of the month with 2" of seasonal snowfall....should that occur, the avenue to a good season is a pretty narrow, dirt road. This is getting very tiresome.
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