40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I had a some clumps of feathers on the deck when I got home last night...most snow in weeks.
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Especially with the blog.......wife+baby+work+blog=concise writing.
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I think you should definitely work your passion for weather into your writing...it would probably only enhance it. Hell, every kid across America would be sleeping with the lights on out of hear of the killer Hadley Cell lol "No mom, the gradient saturation will eat me"
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Once I had the baby, I put a lot less effort into to trying to sound pretty and my posting style grew more concise. lol
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Feb 1 is the only decent signal to me on the EPS.
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You can spin a yarn like no other, man....the tale about the flashing to a sheet of white at Fox Hall never gets old.
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Exactly. The NAO isn't the problem....its just that the way the PAC is aligned...pick your poison. You can either have events shred to shit and compress underneath us, like now....or you can have them track through the great lakes. Personally? I'm ready to ditch the NAO if the PAC is going to remain aligned like that and just take my chances with snow to rain events.
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If we get a big event, its probably going to be at the turn of the month...like I said, there is a window when the PNA neutralizes for a bit...it would have to be that 1/29 system, or the next one after it, I think.
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Climo, and guidance suggests otherwise....lower heights developing around AK, as that trough retrogrades, as per climo, guidance and my outlook....small window around the turn of the month, when the PNA neutralizes, but that is hardly a "favorable Pacific". Good luck, dude. Climo snowfall second half? Sure, maybe....I am saying a big second half is likely not in the cards.
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If we had a huge PNA ridge right now, no one in SNE would be complaining about the NAO.
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I would actually like to view some of your work.....how would I do about doing that? I just disagree that the NAO is more harmful than it is helpful at this latitude....NNE, sure...no argument. But I still feel that in SNE, you want it more often than not. But a huge trough on the west coast can make a lot of otherwise favorable set ups look bad.
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Good luck forecasting based on the pathetic hope of phasing two streams in a violent pacific flow.
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Yea, I am really letting go of much hope this week. Looks like more of the same crap...at least I've moved beyond the frustration stage. Hopefully if we lose the blocking in February and March, we can steal a few SWFEs, or something.
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Yea, you guys that got into that band had the season saved. That was everyone's shot at a big one this season, and some of us missed out.
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I'm being sarcastic, but all I mean is that I feel like you sometimes take salient points and embellish a bit...that's all.
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Now in addition to the Hadley Cell devouring mankind, the -NAO is the mid latitude snowfall antichrist. John loves to latch onto a kernel of truth and just beat you over the head with it until you promise to agree. 'Cmon, dude.....I'll go to war with a neg NAO every time from SNE points south. This winter is merely an illustration of the fact that it is overhyped, like the SSW and everything else, and no meteorological phenomenon operates in a vacuum.
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No, its over as far as that is concerned. Ship has sailed, JMHO....but maybe mod nina will rally during the back half of winter for the second time in the past century, you never know-
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They can keep the 4" of sand.....if it were 24", then I'd be melting away. This winter is crap...every SW that you get is being sheared to shit and staggers into the area, before wilting away.
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I'm honestly not even mad at this point.
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Euro actually does looks nice for you guys down there.
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Epic show.
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Good luck in a moderate la nina during back half of winter.
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Yea, I'm like "whatever", at this point....only thing that will get to me is missing a big dog, which I don't think will be an issue this season.
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Not exactly high stakes....
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That is going to happen. It gets shredded. South and west is best.
