40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Now lets watch 1/29 do its best Feb 1980 impression.
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Looks a hair more suppressed compared to 06z..
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Need to see the Euro at least bring 1/29 to within 100mi or so of the BM in order to take it seriously. 1/26 can either whiff, or shred to 1" here, all the same to me.
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The Dawn may never Awaken....
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I'm sure Will is probably going to still provide solid analysis, but most aren't very interested. I will get outlooks going for that tonight or tmw, since CT looks to get some decent snow.
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I actually thought it had a shot at warning, too. I always thought under 6" for you, though...... Final Call was widespread T-2".
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You did, but guidance didn't.
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I would settle for some runs that bring 1/29 close to the south coast, at this range, but they all hit Hateras and go ene.
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Yup....same page, again. I think it will be a warm spring, and although blocking may reappear again in March, you aren't getting that 2018 result in a mod la nina peak season IMO....not to mention a W QBO. That happened in 2018 because it was a weak la nina and easterly QBO.
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Eh...maybe a few showers from the GL cutter to close out the month.
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I still think the block will go in Feb.....hope for it to redevelop in March, sure.....but Feb should be warm, overall. Like you, I'm fine with that....warm, SWFE....anything over this purgatory....and that is exactly what it is.
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Totally agree if the NAO goes bye, bye....which I honestly hope for, regardless.
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Funny how seasons develop these tendencies that benefit the same locales.
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I'm not sure when it will become apparent to the masses that there are only two options here. 1) Whiff 2) Grind to a pulp The End-
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2003.....2004 ALCS was March 2001 for Yanks fans.
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At least with a SWFE pattern....I get the HP placement right, and its a few inches of snow ending as IP to seal it, or its 50's....and frankly, they both beat the hell out of consecutive day #33 of P cloudy and 39 w search parties on the deck looking for flurry agglomerations.
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Its come to that.....I'm sold on zero dividends from the NAO through the remainder of January, and I don't like the odds of scoring on a big phaser, so I just assume get some storms and take chances with HP placement....BC for the past 5 weeks, I have had 99 problems and precip ain't one....hell, weather of any kind ain't.
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Sometimes Pedro had one of those days that every bloop hit would drop in, and regardless of the fact that his exit velo against was bottom of the barrel, you need to Yank (pun intended) him when you look up at the scoreboard in the top of the sixth, and your losing to climo 3-1 with a PC approaching 100.
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Normally, I agree....and I'm sure the wealth of data that monopolizes the vast majority of space on your laptop downstairs would corroborate this, but at what point do you pull the goalie, dude? This NAO configuration blows, and climo is getting worse......I'm ready to onside kick/pull the goalie. You would like to keep lubing up for the PV, and that's fine. I'm ready to see other people....maybe give the ugly SWFE cousin a try....she isn't as hot, but has a good heart and personality.
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I'm sorry, neg NAO or not, monster phasers are hard to come by in mod/strong la nina.....sure they can happen, but the frequency is lower and it probably will not occur in the right spot. I took my chances all first half, and it hasn't really worked....I'm ready to gamble on high placement.
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How much good is it doing of slowing down the Pac conveyor belt of energy in a -8SD RNA?
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AKA....yes.
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This is like 99-00 with an NAO.
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Funny...the reason why I didn't skunk the lower mid atlantic in the forecast this season is because I anticipated an event like Jan 2000 in Jan or Feb...just more attributed to PNA spike, than NAO block. Shot and a score...
