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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Love that we aren't seeing suppressed solutions....
  2. Well, I'll be coming out of (substantive) hibernation this weekend...time to get caught up and dive in-
  3. Yea, I could approximate reality based on the horseshit 10:1.
  4. I'll be racing the leading egde home from the hostial, baby in tow.
  5. Yea....again, just posting long range OP frames because I haven't had anything noteworthy in a year.
  6. Let me preface this by saying I understand that is a detemrinsitic run at hour infinity.... But yes..continues the trend of being either just too close to the coast and too far south, or just too far from the coast and too far north.
  7. That would send me right the fuck over the edge....right over yonder.
  8. Jesus...if nothing comes of this, then I quit.
  9. Jan 2015 had a band near 3' from my area, through Lowell and down into ORH.
  10. I think there will still be some overrunning SWFE type of events in New England during February before me maybe try to make another run late season.
  11. Even if it goes into the COD, the pattern should wane some.....but I do agree its not going to be prohibitive.
  12. It is basin-wide...I agree, we should see more MC forcing in February. I'm not arguing that January's pattern will carry over through February....I think it will back off, but I don't think it will be a 2018 like torch. All I'm saying is that too much emphasis is placed on EMI when its relatively weak.
  13. Yes...should be moderate in terms of RONI and maybe even MEI.
  14. Not sure we make it up to 1.0 on the monthly, so probably not eclipsing 2008-2009 in terms of ONI.
  15. 2008: 17DEC2008 22.7-0.2 24.5-0.7 25.7-0.8 27.6-0.8 24DEC2008 22.9-0.3 24.4-0.8 25.6-1.0 27.5-0.9 31DEC2008 23.2-0.4 24.6-0.7 25.5-1.0 27.4-0.9 2024: 04DEC2024 22.5 0.1 24.8-0.4 26.3-0.3 28.3-0.2 11DEC2024 22.5-0.2 24.8-0.4 26.1-0.6 28.1-0.3 18DEC2024 22.8-0.2 24.7-0.5 25.8-0.8 28.0-0.4
  16. I think the WWB may have also beaten it back for a bit....anyway, makes since given the late-blooming 2008 was a strong subsuface match late last fall.
  17. No, but I don't think it will be a complete trainwreck, either.
  18. I'm not saying its necessarily great seasonal analog....ENSO.
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